Nicolas Mejia vs Yibing Wu
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 06:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yibing Wu
Nicolas …: 13,9% Yibing …: 86,2%
¿Por qué Yibing Wu?
UTR 14,29 vs 15,13 (-0,50) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nicolas … Yibing … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,50 1,18 22,2%
Gamdom 4,60 1,20 21,7%
IA Fair Odds 7,22 1,16 13,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Nicolas …: -6,9% Yibing …: +7,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nicolas Mejia
Ranking #169
UTR Rating 14,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #239
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (8p)
WR Hard 15/33 = 45,5%
Yibing Wu
Ranking #168
UTR Rating 15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #74
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 23/31 = 74,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -1,0000
rank_ratio 0,9941
log_rank_ratio -0,0059
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -2,0000
best_rank_diff -114,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -28,7390
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -25,4826
surface_matches_ratio 1,0645
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 45,4545
surface_wr_p2 74,1935
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,9459
surface_wr_p2_stable 71,4286
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0909
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,4229
first_serve_won_diff -3,2970
second_serve_won_diff -6,0939
bp_saved_diff 0,3333
bp_converted_diff -2,6394
aces_per_match_diff -0,4731
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,7540
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4167
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 3,7496
serve_consistency_p2 12,4148
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,1706
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0445
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2409
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5000
utr_p1 0,7329
utr_p2 0,7918
utr_advantage -3,4530
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22946
API ID 15361658
Gamdom ID 594529
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22946,
    "api_id": 15361658,
    "gamdom_id": 594529,
    "player1": "Nicolas Mejia",
    "player2": "Yibing Wu",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T02:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.5,
      "p2": 1.1818181818181819
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.6,
      "p2": 1.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.3,
      "p2": 1.2
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1385,
    "prob_p2": 0.8615,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8615,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 169,
      "utr_singles": 14.29,
      "utr_ranking": 239,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.45454545454545,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 168,
      "utr_singles": 15.13,
      "utr_ranking": 74,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 74.19354838709677,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.29,
      "ranking": 239,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.13,
      "ranking": 74,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7329411764705883,
    "utr_p2": 0.791764705882353,
    "utr_diff": -0.5,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9940828402366864,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -2,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.3333333333333286,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 45.45454545454545,
    "surface_wr_p2": 74.19354838709677,
    "utr_advantage": -3.4530386740331496,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -114,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.005934735519814578,
    "rank_advantage": -1,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4166666666666667,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -28.739002932551315,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.6393939393939405,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.422903225806451,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.4731182795698925,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.296969696969697,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.09090909090909091,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.74959048906724,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.414829517054022,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.1705583815078676,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.94594594594595,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 71.42857142857143,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.093939393939394,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.064516129032258,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.7539999999999907,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04445454545454547,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.24093548387096764,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -25.48262548262548,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}