Nicolas Mejia vs Yibing Wu
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 06:50
14 Ene 2026, 06:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yibing Wu
Nicolas …: 13,9%
Yibing …: 86,2%
¿Por qué Yibing Wu?
UTR 14,29 vs 15,13
(-0,50)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nicolas … | Yibing … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,50 | 1,18 | 22,2% |
| Gamdom | 4,60 | 1,20 | 21,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 7,22 | 1,16 | 13,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nicolas …: -6,9%
Yibing …: +7,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nicolas Mejia
Ranking
#169
UTR Rating
14,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#239
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (8p)
WR Hard
15/33 = 45,5%
Yibing Wu
Ranking
#168
UTR Rating
15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#74
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
23/31 = 74,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9941 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0059 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -2,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -114,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -28,7390 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -25,4826 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0645 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 45,4545 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 74,1935 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,9459 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 71,4286 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,4229 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,2970 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,0939 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,3333 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,6394 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4731 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,7540 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4167 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,7496 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,4148 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,1706 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0445 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2409 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7329 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7918 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,4530 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22946
API ID
15361658
Gamdom ID
594529
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22946,
"api_id": 15361658,
"gamdom_id": 594529,
"player1": "Nicolas Mejia",
"player2": "Yibing Wu",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T02:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.5,
"p2": 1.1818181818181819
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.6,
"p2": 1.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.3,
"p2": 1.2
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1385,
"prob_p2": 0.8615,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8615,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 169,
"utr_singles": 14.29,
"utr_ranking": 239,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.45454545454545,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 168,
"utr_singles": 15.13,
"utr_ranking": 74,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 74.19354838709677,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.29,
"ranking": 239,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.13,
"ranking": 74,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7329411764705883,
"utr_p2": 0.791764705882353,
"utr_diff": -0.5,
"rank_ratio": 0.9940828402366864,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -2,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.3333333333333286,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 45.45454545454545,
"surface_wr_p2": 74.19354838709677,
"utr_advantage": -3.4530386740331496,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -114,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.005934735519814578,
"rank_advantage": -1,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4166666666666667,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -28.739002932551315,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.6393939393939405,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.422903225806451,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.4731182795698925,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.296969696969697,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.09090909090909091,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.74959048906724,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.414829517054022,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.1705583815078676,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.94594594594595,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 71.42857142857143,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.093939393939394,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.064516129032258,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.7539999999999907,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04445454545454547,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.24093548387096764,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -25.48262548262548,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}