Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Coleman Wong
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coleman Wong
Pablo …: 41,1% Coleman …: 58,9%
¿Por qué Coleman Wong?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Pablo … Coleman … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,50 1,18 22,2%
Gamdom 3,45 1,32 29,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,43 1,70 41,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Pablo …: +20,3% Coleman …: -20,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Ranking #213
UTR Rating 14,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #155
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 5/10 = 50,0%
Coleman Wong
Ranking #132
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 22/38 = 57,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -80,0000
rank_ratio 0,6226
log_rank_ratio -0,4738
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -182,0000
best_rank_diff -3,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -7,8947
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,1190
surface_matches_ratio 0,2632
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 57,8947
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,1429
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 38,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -15,7926
first_serve_won_diff -8,8526
second_serve_won_diff -0,1684
bp_saved_diff 9,0789
bp_converted_diff -9,4563
aces_per_match_diff -5,6579
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -13,9000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5085
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1746
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7692
serve_consistency_p1 6,5104
serve_consistency_p2 10,8170
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,7404
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0800
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0011
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7894
utr_p2 0,7894
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22947
API ID 15361667
Gamdom ID 594554
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22947,
    "api_id": 15361667,
    "gamdom_id": 594554,
    "player1": "Pablo Llamas Ruiz",
    "player2": "Coleman Wong",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T02:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.5,
      "p2": 1.1818181818181819
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.45,
      "p2": 1.32
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.34,
      "p2": 1.31
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4113,
    "prob_p2": 0.5887,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5887,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 213,
      "utr_singles": 14.56,
      "utr_ranking": 155,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 132,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.56,
      "ranking": 155,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7894117647058825,
    "utr_p2": 0.7894117647058825,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6226415094339622,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": -182,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 9.078947368421055,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.89473684210527,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -3,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.4737843520856416,
    "rank_advantage": -80,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7692307692307693,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -7.894736842105267,
    "bp_converted_diff": -9.456315789473692,
    "p1_surface_matches": 10,
    "p2_surface_matches": 38,
    "serve_quality_diff": -15.792631578947358,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5084745762711864,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1746031746031746,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.657894736842104,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -8.852631578947353,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.51038926010861,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.81699166100144,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.7404027796234884,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.14285714285714,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.16842105263157947,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.2631578947368421,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -13.90000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07999999999999996,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.001052631578947305,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.119047619047616,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}