Anouk Koevermans vs Anhelina Kalinina
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 04:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anhelina Kalinina
Anouk …: 31,1% Anhelina …: 68,9%
¿Por qué Anhelina Kalinina?
UTR 11,56 vs 12,11 (-0,55) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anouk … Anhelina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,40 1,30 29,4%
Gamdom 4,30 1,24 23,3%
IA Fair Odds 3,21 1,45 31,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Anouk …: +3,5% Anhelina …: -3,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anouk Koevermans
Ranking #194
UTR Rating 11,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #232
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 2/5 = 40,0%
Anhelina Kalinina
Ranking #179
UTR Rating 12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #77
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 12/21 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -14,0000
rank_ratio 0,9271
log_rank_ratio -0,0757
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -25,0000
best_rank_diff -142,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -17,1429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,8097
surface_matches_ratio 0,2381
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 40,0000
surface_wr_p2 57,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 37,6068
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,0000
p1_surface_matches 5,0000
p2_surface_matches 21,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3667
p2_confidence 0,7000
combined_confidence 0,5333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,5333
first_serve_won_diff 3,4571
second_serve_won_diff -0,4286
bp_saved_diff 19,6714
bp_converted_diff -2,1857
aces_per_match_diff 3,4667
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -13,8850
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 9,4466
serve_consistency_p2 6,2284
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,2979
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0860
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0574
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5500
utr_p1 0,4165
utr_p2 0,4812
utr_advantage -4,6551
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22949
API ID 15361652
Gamdom ID 594502
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22949,
    "api_id": 15361652,
    "gamdom_id": 594502,
    "player1": "Anouk Koevermans",
    "player2": "Anhelina Kalinina",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T00:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.4,
      "p2": 1.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.3,
      "p2": 1.24
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.13,
      "p2": 1.21
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3112,
    "prob_p2": 0.6888,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6888,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 194,
      "utr_singles": 11.56,
      "utr_ranking": 232,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 179,
      "utr_singles": 12.11,
      "utr_ranking": 77,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.56,
      "ranking": 232,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.11,
      "ranking": 77,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.41647058823529404,
    "utr_p2": 0.48117647058823526,
    "utr_diff": -0.5500000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9270833333333334,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": -25,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 19.671428571428564,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -7.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7,
    "surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
    "utr_advantage": -4.655099449851889,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -142,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.07571182173569636,
    "rank_advantage": -14,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -17.14285714285714,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.1857142857142904,
    "p1_surface_matches": 5,
    "p2_surface_matches": 21,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.533333333333339,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.4666666666666663,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.4571428571428555,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.446555267189124,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.228408169356535,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.2979169440405087,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.60683760683761,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.00000000000001,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.4285714285714306,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.23809523809523808,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -13.884999999999991,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08599999999999997,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.057428571428571384,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.809686609686613,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}