Anouk Koevermans vs Anhelina Kalinina
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 04:45
14 Ene 2026, 04:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anhelina Kalinina
Anouk …: 31,1%
Anhelina …: 68,9%
¿Por qué Anhelina Kalinina?
UTR 11,56 vs 12,11
(-0,55)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anouk … | Anhelina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,40 | 1,30 | 29,4% |
| Gamdom | 4,30 | 1,24 | 23,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,21 | 1,45 | 31,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anouk …: +3,5%
Anhelina …: -3,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anouk Koevermans
Ranking
#194
UTR Rating
11,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#232
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
2/5 = 40,0%
Anhelina Kalinina
Ranking
#179
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#77
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
12/21 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -14,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9271 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0757 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -25,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -142,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -17,1429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,8097 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2381 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 37,6068 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,5333 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,4571 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,4286 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 19,6714 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,1857 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,4667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -13,8850 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,4466 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,2284 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,2979 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0860 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0574 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4165 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4812 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,6551 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22949
API ID
15361652
Gamdom ID
594502
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22949,
"api_id": 15361652,
"gamdom_id": 594502,
"player1": "Anouk Koevermans",
"player2": "Anhelina Kalinina",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T00:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.4,
"p2": 1.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.3,
"p2": 1.24
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.13,
"p2": 1.21
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3112,
"prob_p2": 0.6888,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6888,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 194,
"utr_singles": 11.56,
"utr_ranking": 232,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 179,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 77,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 232,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.11,
"ranking": 77,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.48117647058823526,
"utr_diff": -0.5500000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 0.9270833333333334,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": -25,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 19.671428571428564,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -7.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 0.7,
"surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_advantage": -4.655099449851889,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -142,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.07571182173569636,
"rank_advantage": -14,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -17.14285714285714,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.1857142857142904,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 21,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.533333333333339,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.4666666666666663,
"combined_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.4571428571428555,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.446555267189124,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.228408169356535,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.2979169440405087,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.60683760683761,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.00000000000001,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.4285714285714306,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.23809523809523808,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -13.884999999999991,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08599999999999997,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.057428571428571384,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.809686609686613,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}