Carson Branstine vs Daria Snigur
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 10:00
14 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Daria Snigur
Carson …: 33,1%
Daria …: 66,9%
¿Por qué Daria Snigur?
UTR 11,83 vs 11,96
(-0,07)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Carson … | Daria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,53 | 42,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,95 | 1,42 | 33,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,02 | 1,49 | 33,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Carson …: -6,2%
Daria …: +6,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carson Branstine
Ranking
#180
UTR Rating
11,83 Pro
UTR Ranking
#140
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
1/4 = 25,0%
Daria Snigur
Ranking
#136
UTR Rating
11,96 Pro
UTR Ranking
#117
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
7/13 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -43,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7598 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2747 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -137,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -67,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -28,8462 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,6297 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3077 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46,5789 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,9412 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4133 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,4437 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,1077 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,2481 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,9865 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -13,6288 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,0577 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -24,3300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,9839 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1009 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7,9249 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2070 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0045 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4518 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4600 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,5895 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22950
API ID
15361664
Gamdom ID
594555
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22950,
"api_id": 15361664,
"gamdom_id": 594555,
"player1": "Carson Branstine",
"player2": "Daria Snigur",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T06:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.375,
"p2": 1.5333333333333332
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.95,
"p2": 1.42
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.89,
"p2": 1.39
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3307,
"prob_p2": 0.6693,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6693,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 180,
"utr_singles": 11.83,
"utr_ranking": 140,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 136,
"utr_singles": 11.96,
"utr_ranking": 117,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 140,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 117,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.46,
"utr_diff": -0.07000000000000028,
"rank_ratio": 0.7597765363128491,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": -137,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.986538461538466,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -27.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 25.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
"utr_advantage": -0.5894736842105287,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -67,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.274730920104703,
"rank_advantage": -43,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -28.846153846153847,
"bp_converted_diff": -13.628846153846155,
"p1_surface_matches": 4,
"p2_surface_matches": 13,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.443653846153843,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.0576923076923075,
"combined_confidence": 0.41333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.107692307692304,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.98389356911113,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.100922772288282,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.924930387635664,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.57894736842105,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.2480769230769155,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3076923076923077,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -24.330000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.20699999999999996,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.004538461538461602,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.629721362229106,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}