Greet Minnen vs Harmony Tan
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 06:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Greet Minnen
Greet …: 80,3% Harmony …: 19,7%
¿Por qué Greet Minnen?
UTR 12,15 vs 11,61 (+0,55) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Greet … Harmony … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 2,75 71,4%
Gamdom 1,29 3,80 77,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,25 5,07 80,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Greet …: +14,0% Harmony …: -14,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Greet Minnen
Ranking #123
UTR Rating 12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #64
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 15/28 = 53,6%
Harmony Tan
Ranking #216
UTR Rating 11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking #206
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 92,0000
rank_ratio 1,7480
log_rank_ratio 0,5585
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 257,0000
best_rank_diff 31,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 53,5714
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 32,7604
surface_matches_ratio 28,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,5714
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,1250
surface_wr_p2_stable 0,0000
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0714
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,6167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 53,7900
first_serve_won_diff 65,1071
second_serve_won_diff 53,4071
bp_saved_diff 54,7929
bp_converted_diff 51,4357
aces_per_match_diff 2,6071
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 48,0000
momentum_diff 14,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 10,9950
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6622
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,0821
serve_consistency_p2 9,6114
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 29,9172
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0563
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4080
elite_surface_amplifier 53,5714
UTR
utr_diff 0,5500
utr_p1 0,4894
utr_p2 0,4247
utr_advantage 4,6277
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22952
API ID 15361654
Gamdom ID 594498
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22952,
    "api_id": 15361654,
    "gamdom_id": 594498,
    "player1": "Greet Minnen",
    "player2": "Harmony Tan",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T02:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.29,
      "p2": 3.8
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.27,
      "p2": 3.66
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8026,
    "prob_p2": 0.1974,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8026,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 123,
      "utr_singles": 12.15,
      "utr_ranking": 64,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 216,
      "utr_singles": 11.61,
      "utr_ranking": 206,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.15,
      "ranking": 64,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.61,
      "ranking": 206,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4894117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.4247058823529411,
    "utr_diff": 0.5500000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 1.7479674796747968,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 257,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 54.792857142857144,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 14.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 4.627681952040393,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 31,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5584536727552454,
    "rank_advantage": 92,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 53.57142857142857,
    "bp_converted_diff": 51.43571428571429,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 53.79,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6621621621621622,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.607142857142857,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 65.10714285714286,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07142857142857142,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.082146046988019,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.611407647784722,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 29.917161040459572,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.125,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 53.40714285714286,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 28.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 10.995000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 53.57142857142857,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05628571428571438,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.4079999999999999,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 32.76041666666667,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}