Whitney Osuigwe vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 05:45
14 Ene 2026, 05:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lucrezia Stefanini
Whitney …: 32,2%
Lucrezia …: 67,8%
¿Por qué Lucrezia Stefanini?
UTR 11,51 vs 11,61
(-0,17)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Whitney … | Lucrezia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,73 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,06 | 1,81 | 48,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,11 | 1,47 | 32,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Whitney …: -14,2%
Lucrezia …: +14,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Whitney Osuigwe
Ranking
#152
UTR Rating
11,51 Pro
UTR Ranking
#268
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
5/12 = 41,7%
Lucrezia Stefanini
Ranking
#139
UTR Rating
11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#209
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/23 = 47,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -13,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9145 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0894 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -47,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -6,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6,1594 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,6975 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5217 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 47,8261 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,1481 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6133 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,0819 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,1217 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 9,1957 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 15,4783 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,6304 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,6920 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 26,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 24,1940 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,3815 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,1627 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,5507 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0703 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0347 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4271 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,4725 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22954
API ID
15361665
Gamdom ID
594556
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22954,
"api_id": 15361665,
"gamdom_id": 594556,
"player1": "Whitney Osuigwe",
"player2": "Lucrezia Stefanini",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T01:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.7272727272727273
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.06,
"p2": 1.81
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.94,
"p2": 1.82
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3216,
"prob_p2": 0.6784,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6784,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 152,
"utr_singles": 11.51,
"utr_ranking": 268,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 139,
"utr_singles": 11.61,
"utr_ranking": 209,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.82608695652174,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.51,
"ranking": 268,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.61,
"ranking": 209,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4270588235294119,
"utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 0.9144736842105263,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -47,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 15.478260869565219,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 25.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_p2": 47.82608695652174,
"utr_advantage": -1.472498917280207,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -6,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.08940658771558462,
"rank_advantage": -13,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -6.1594202898550705,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.6304347826087096,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.08188405797101,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.6920289855072463,
"combined_confidence": 0.6133333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.121739130434783,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.381450821029483,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.162685709606725,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.550692750422079,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.148148148148145,
"second_serve_won_diff": 9.195652173913047,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5217391304347826,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 24.194000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07033333333333325,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.034739130434782606,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.697530864197529,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}