Whitney Osuigwe vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 05:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lucrezia Stefanini
Whitney …: 32,2% Lucrezia …: 67,8%
¿Por qué Lucrezia Stefanini?
UTR 11,51 vs 11,61 (-0,17) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Whitney … Lucrezia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,73 50,0%
Gamdom 2,06 1,81 48,5%
IA Fair Odds 3,11 1,47 32,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Whitney …: -14,2% Lucrezia …: +14,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Whitney Osuigwe
Ranking #152
UTR Rating 11,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #268
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 5/12 = 41,7%
Lucrezia Stefanini
Ranking #139
UTR Rating 11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking #209
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/23 = 47,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -13,0000
rank_ratio 0,9145
log_rank_ratio -0,0894
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -47,0000
best_rank_diff -6,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,1594
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,6975
surface_matches_ratio 0,5217
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 41,6667
surface_wr_p2 47,8261
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,1481
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,6133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,0819
first_serve_won_diff -4,1217
second_serve_won_diff 9,1957
bp_saved_diff 15,4783
bp_converted_diff -1,6304
aces_per_match_diff 0,6920
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 26,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 24,1940
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 6,3815
serve_consistency_p2 11,1627
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,5507
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0703
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0347
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1700
utr_p1 0,4071
utr_p2 0,4271
utr_advantage -1,4725
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22954
API ID 15361665
Gamdom ID 594556
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22954,
    "api_id": 15361665,
    "gamdom_id": 594556,
    "player1": "Whitney Osuigwe",
    "player2": "Lucrezia Stefanini",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T01:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.7272727272727273
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.06,
      "p2": 1.81
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.94,
      "p2": 1.82
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3216,
    "prob_p2": 0.6784,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6784,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 152,
      "utr_singles": 11.51,
      "utr_ranking": 268,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 139,
      "utr_singles": 11.61,
      "utr_ranking": 209,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.82608695652174,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.51,
      "ranking": 268,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.61,
      "ranking": 209,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.40705882352941186,
    "utr_p2": 0.4270588235294119,
    "utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9144736842105263,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -47,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 15.478260869565219,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 25.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p2": 47.82608695652174,
    "utr_advantage": -1.472498917280207,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -6,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.08940658771558462,
    "rank_advantage": -13,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.1594202898550705,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.6304347826087096,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.08188405797101,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.6920289855072463,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6133333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.121739130434783,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.381450821029483,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.162685709606725,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.550692750422079,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.148148148148145,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 9.195652173913047,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5217391304347826,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 24.194000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07033333333333325,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.034739130434782606,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.697530864197529,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}