Tomas Machac vs Quentin Halys
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 06:15
14 Ene 2026, 06:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tomas Machac
Tomas …: 65,1%
Quentin …: 34,9%
¿Por qué Tomas Machac?
UTR 15,26 vs 14,75
(+0,63)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tomas … | Quentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,53 | 2,50 | 65,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,54 | 2,87 | 65,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tomas …: +3,1%
Quentin …: -3,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomas Machac
Ranking
#24
UTR Rating
15,26 Pro
UTR Ranking
#56
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
17/29 = 58,6%
Quentin Halys
Ranking
#83
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#120
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
13/33 = 39,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 50,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,4286 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8873 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 663,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 26,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 19,2268 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,7513 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8788 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58,6207 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 39,3939 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,5758 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,5405 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -11,2027 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,7111 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,7708 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,8972 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 11,4515 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5,5392 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -52,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -33,9000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0582 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9620 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6875 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,2195 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,7106 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 17,0600 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0362 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0561 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 19,2268 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7965 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,1763 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22955
API ID
15327348
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22955,
"api_id": 15327348,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Tomas Machac",
"player2": "Quentin Halys",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-14T02:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.58,
"p2": 2.34
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6512,
"prob_p2": 0.3488,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6512,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 24,
"utr_singles": 15.26,
"utr_ranking": 56,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 83,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 120,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 39.39393939393939,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 56,
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},
"p2": {
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"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.6300000000000008,
"rank_ratio": 2.4285714285714284,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 663,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.897178683385583,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 7,
"momentum_diff": -52.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 58.620689655172406,
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"utr_advantage": 4.176334106728543,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 26,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8873031950009027,
"rank_advantage": 50,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6875,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -5,
"surface_wr_diff": 19.226750261233015,
"bp_converted_diff": 11.451515151515153,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": -11.202654127481708,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0582010582010581,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9619565217391305,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.539184952978057,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.7110762800417803,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1724137931034483,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.219537307004275,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.710556451096171,
"surface_rank_synergy": 17.059956936276496,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.57575757575758,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.54054054054054,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.770846394984332,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8787878787878788,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -33.89999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 19.226750261233015,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.036206896551724044,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05606060606060603,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.751296751296756,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}