Tomas Machac vs Quentin Halys
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 06:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tomas Machac
Tomas …: 65,1% Quentin …: 34,9%
¿Por qué Tomas Machac?
UTR 15,26 vs 14,75 (+0,63) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tomas … Quentin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,50 65,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,54 2,87 65,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Tomas …: +3,1% Quentin …: -3,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomas Machac
Ranking #24
UTR Rating 15,26 Pro
UTR Ranking #56
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 17/29 = 58,6%
Quentin Halys
Ranking #83
UTR Rating 14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #120
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 13/33 = 39,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 50,0000
rank_ratio 2,4286
log_rank_ratio 0,8873
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 663,0000
best_rank_diff 26,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 19,2268
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,7513
surface_matches_ratio 0,8788
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,6207
surface_wr_p2 39,3939
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,5758
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,5405
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1724
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -11,2027
first_serve_won_diff -3,7111
second_serve_won_diff 5,7708
bp_saved_diff 2,8972
bp_converted_diff 11,4515
aces_per_match_diff -5,5392
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -52,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -33,9000
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 7,0000
match_load_diff -5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0582
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9620
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6429
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6875
serve_consistency_p1 11,2195
serve_consistency_p2 7,7106
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 17,0600
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0362
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0561
elite_surface_amplifier 19,2268
UTR
utr_diff 0,6300
utr_p1 0,8706
utr_p2 0,7965
utr_advantage 4,1763
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22955
API ID 15327348
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22955,
    "api_id": 15327348,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Tomas Machac",
    "player2": "Quentin Halys",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T02:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.58,
      "p2": 2.34
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6512,
    "prob_p2": 0.3488,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6512,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 24,
      "utr_singles": 15.26,
      "utr_ranking": 56,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 83,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 120,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 39.39393939393939,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 56,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 120,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.796470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.6300000000000008,
    "rank_ratio": 2.4285714285714284,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 663,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.897178683385583,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 7,
    "momentum_diff": -52.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 58.620689655172406,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": -5,
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    "bp_converted_diff": 11.451515151515153,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
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    "serve_quality_diff": -11.202654127481708,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0582010582010581,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9619565217391305,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.539184952978057,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.7110762800417803,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1724137931034483,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.219537307004275,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.710556451096171,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 17.059956936276496,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.57575757575758,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.54054054054054,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.770846394984332,
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.036206896551724044,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05606060606060603,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.751296751296756,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}