Fábián Marozsán vs Casper Ruud
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 09:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Casper Ruud
Fábián …: 23,8% Casper …: 76,2%
¿Por qué Casper Ruud?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Fábián … Casper … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,40 33,3%
IA Fair Odds 4,21 1,31 23,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Fábián …: -8,1% Casper …: +8,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking #47
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/31 = 51,6%
Casper Ruud
Ranking #13
UTR Rating 15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #22
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 22/33 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -39,0000
rank_ratio 0,2500
log_rank_ratio -1,3863
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -1820,0000
best_rank_diff -34,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -15,0538
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -13,4363
surface_matches_ratio 0,9394
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,6129
surface_wr_p2 66,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,4286
surface_wr_p2_stable 64,8649
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0323
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,8489
first_serve_won_diff -1,6985
second_serve_won_diff -1,2795
bp_saved_diff -2,5060
bp_converted_diff -12,1654
aces_per_match_diff -1,3079
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 42,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -7,6500
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 9,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1456
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0465
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3529
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5714
serve_consistency_p1 3,5199
serve_consistency_p2 9,4376
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 20,8689
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0551
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1277
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,9141
utr_p2 0,9141
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22956
API ID 15327184
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22956,
    "api_id": 15327184,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
    "player2": "Casper Ruud",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T05:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2376,
    "prob_p2": 0.7624,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7624,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 47,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 13,
      "utr_singles": 15.57,
      "utr_ranking": 22,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
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  },
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    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": -1820,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
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    "match_load_p2": 2,
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    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.61290322580645,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "bp_converted_diff": -12.165395894428148,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.848944281524929,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.145631067961165,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0465116279069768,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.3079178885630505,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.6985337243401801,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.03225806451612903,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.5198644263650403,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.437645224407607,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 20.868947371697267,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.42857142857142,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.86486486486487,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.2794721407624579,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
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    "days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12766666666666648,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.436293436293447,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
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  "feature_importance": {}
}