Hamad Medjedovic vs Jakub Mensik
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 11:55
14 Ene 2026, 11:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jakub Mensik
Hamad …: 22,4%
Jakub …: 77,6%
¿Por qué Jakub Mensik?
UTR 15,24 vs 15,40
(-0,08)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hamad … | Jakub … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,73 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 2,17 | 1,70 | 46,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,46 | 1,29 | 22,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Hamad …: -22,8%
Jakub …: +22,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hamad Medjedovic
Ranking
#90
UTR Rating
15,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#58
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
18/30 = 60,0%
Jakub Mensik
Ranking
#17
UTR Rating
15,40 Pro
UTR Ranking
#37
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
20/32 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -78,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1875 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,6740 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1482,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -41,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2,5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,2876 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9375 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,8235 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,1111 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -12,3551 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,3825 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,8150 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,9950 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 12,9900 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5,5042 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 62,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 41,4010 | |
| current_streak_diff | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2381 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1710 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5294 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6190 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,1980 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,0388 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,1849 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1780 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0470 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8729 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,5202 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22957
API ID
15327192
Gamdom ID
579412
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22957,
"api_id": 15327192,
"gamdom_id": 579412,
"player1": "Hamad Medjedovic",
"player2": "Jakub Mensik",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-14T07:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.73
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.17,
"p2": 1.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.17,
"p2": 1.68
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2241,
"prob_p2": 0.7759,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7759,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 90,
"utr_singles": 15.24,
"utr_ranking": 58,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 17,
"utr_singles": 15.4,
"utr_ranking": 37,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.24,
"ranking": 58,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.4,
"ranking": 37,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8729411764705882,
"utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 0.1875,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": -1482,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.9949999999999903,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 61.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
"utr_advantage": -0.5201560468140447,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -41,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.6739764335716716,
"rank_advantage": -78,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6190476190476191,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.5,
"bp_converted_diff": 12.989999999999998,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": -12.355083333333326,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2380952380952381,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1709844559585492,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.504166666666666,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 5,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.382499999999993,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.197959524017588,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.038806443958028,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.1849410839291785,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.82352941176471,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.111111111111114,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.815000000000012,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9375,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 41.400999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17799999999999994,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04700000000000004,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.287581699346404,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}