Hamad Medjedovic vs Jakub Mensik
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 11:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jakub Mensik
Hamad …: 22,4% Jakub …: 77,6%
¿Por qué Jakub Mensik?
UTR 15,24 vs 15,40 (-0,08) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hamad … Jakub … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,73 47,6%
Gamdom 2,17 1,70 46,1%
IA Fair Odds 4,46 1,29 22,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Hamad …: -22,8% Jakub …: +22,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hamad Medjedovic
Ranking #90
UTR Rating 15,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #58
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 18/30 = 60,0%
Jakub Mensik
Ranking #17
UTR Rating 15,40 Pro
UTR Ranking #37
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 20/32 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -78,0000
rank_ratio 0,1875
log_rank_ratio -1,6740
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -1482,0000
best_rank_diff -41,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -2,5000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,2876
surface_matches_ratio 0,9375
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 62,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,8235
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,1111
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -12,3551
first_serve_won_diff -4,3825
second_serve_won_diff 2,8150
bp_saved_diff -2,9950
bp_converted_diff 12,9900
aces_per_match_diff -5,5042
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff 62,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 41,4010
current_streak_diff 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 5,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2381
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1710
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5294
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6190
serve_consistency_p1 9,1980
serve_consistency_p2 6,0388
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,1849
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1780
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0470
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0800
utr_p1 0,8635
utr_p2 0,8729
utr_advantage -0,5202
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22957
API ID 15327192
Gamdom ID 579412
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22957,
    "api_id": 15327192,
    "gamdom_id": 579412,
    "player1": "Hamad Medjedovic",
    "player2": "Jakub Mensik",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T07:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.73
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.17,
      "p2": 1.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.17,
      "p2": 1.68
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2241,
    "prob_p2": 0.7759,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7759,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 90,
      "utr_singles": 15.24,
      "utr_ranking": 58,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 17,
      "utr_singles": 15.4,
      "utr_ranking": 37,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.24,
      "ranking": 58,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.4,
      "ranking": 37,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8635294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.8729411764705882,
    "utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 0.1875,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": -1482,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.9949999999999903,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 61.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
    "utr_advantage": -0.5201560468140447,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -41,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.6739764335716716,
    "rank_advantage": -78,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6190476190476191,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -2.5,
    "bp_converted_diff": 12.989999999999998,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -12.355083333333326,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2380952380952381,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1709844559585492,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.504166666666666,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.382499999999993,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.197959524017588,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.038806443958028,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.1849410839291785,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.82352941176471,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.111111111111114,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.815000000000012,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9375,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 41.400999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17799999999999994,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04700000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.287581699346404,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}