Tereza Valentová vs Madison Keys
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 06:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Madison Keys
Tereza …: 35,0% Madison …: 65,0%
¿Por qué Madison Keys?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tereza … Madison … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,30 1,62 43,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,86 1,54 35,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Tereza …: -6,3% Madison …: +6,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tereza Valentová
Ranking #54
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 13/16 = 81,3%
Madison Keys
Ranking #9
UTR Rating 12,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #25
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 24/32 = 75,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -51,0000
rank_ratio 0,1500
log_rank_ratio -1,8971
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -2967,0000
best_rank_diff -50,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 6,2500
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,1296
surface_matches_ratio 0,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 81,2500
surface_wr_p2 75,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 75,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 72,2222
p1_surface_matches 16,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,6250
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,4950
first_serve_won_diff 2,0000
second_serve_won_diff 1,4750
bp_saved_diff 3,4625
bp_converted_diff 7,1563
aces_per_match_diff -1,4688
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 17,5000
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7273
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7788
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 7,8379
serve_consistency_p2 7,6765
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -11,8570
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,3635
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1990
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5259
utr_p2 0,5259
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22959
API ID 15328440
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22959,
    "api_id": 15328440,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Tereza Valentov\u00e1",
    "player2": "Madison Keys",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T02:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.3,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": 1.66
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.35,
    "prob_p2": 0.65,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.65,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 54,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 81.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 9,
      "utr_singles": 12.5,
      "utr_ranking": 25,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
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      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
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  },
  "features": {
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    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -2967,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.4624999999999986,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
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    "p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 81.25,
    "surface_wr_p2": 75.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "surface_wr_diff": 6.25,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.15625,
    "p1_surface_matches": 16,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.4950000000000045,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7272727272727273,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.778816199376947,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.46875,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.625,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.837874424231739,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.676525477003092,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -11.856999905536759,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 75.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.22222222222221,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.4750000000000014,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 17.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.1296296296296355,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
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  "feature_importance": {}
}