Yulia Putintseva vs Emma Navarro
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 11:00
14 Ene 2026, 11:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emma Navarro
Yulia …: 15,7%
Emma …: 84,3%
¿Por qué Emma Navarro?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,31
(-0,37)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yulia … | Emma … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,50 | 38,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,46 | 1,58 | 40,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 6,36 | 1,19 | 15,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yulia …: -20,6%
Emma …: +20,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yulia Putintseva
Ranking
#94
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
15/32 = 46,9%
Emma Navarro
Ranking
#15
UTR Rating
12,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#41
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
19/33 = 57,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -90,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1429 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,9459 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1726,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -12,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,7008 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,5345 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9697 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,8750 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,5758 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,7568 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0625 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,2795 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,1048 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,8764 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,1676 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,3253 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,3845 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 36,8250 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5574 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6980 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,7972 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,2089 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 20,8227 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0587 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0142 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5141 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,0365 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22960
API ID
15328447
Gamdom ID
580613
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22960,
"api_id": 15328447,
"gamdom_id": 580613,
"player1": "Yulia Putintseva",
"player2": "Emma Navarro",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-14T07:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.63,
"p2": 1.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.46,
"p2": 1.58
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.36,
"p2": 1.57
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1572,
"prob_p2": 0.8428,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8428,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 94,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.875,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 15,
"utr_singles": 12.31,
"utr_ranking": 41,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 104,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.31,
"ranking": 41,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5141176470588235,
"utr_diff": -0.3699999999999992,
"rank_ratio": 0.14285714285714285,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -1726,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.1676136363636331,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 7,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 49.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.875,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.57575757575758,
"utr_advantage": -3.036520311858837,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -12,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.9459101490553135,
"rank_advantage": -90,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.700757575757578,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.325284090909086,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.279450757575752,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5573770491803278,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6979591836734694,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.384469696969697,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.10482954545454248,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.0625,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.79721073677595,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.208854903962617,
"surface_rank_synergy": 20.822712769247204,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.22222222222222,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.75675675675676,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.8764204545454533,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9696969696969697,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 36.824999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05874999999999997,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.014242424242424168,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.534534534534536,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}