Yulia Putintseva vs Emma Navarro
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 11:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emma Navarro
Yulia …: 15,7% Emma …: 84,3%
¿Por qué Emma Navarro?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,31 (-0,37) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yulia … Emma … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,50 38,0%
Gamdom 2,46 1,58 40,7%
IA Fair Odds 6,36 1,19 15,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Yulia …: -20,6% Emma …: +20,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yulia Putintseva
Ranking #94
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #104
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 15/32 = 46,9%
Emma Navarro
Ranking #15
UTR Rating 12,31 Pro
UTR Ranking #41
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 19/33 = 57,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -90,0000
rank_ratio 0,1429
log_rank_ratio -1,9459
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -1726,0000
best_rank_diff -12,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -10,7008
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,5345
surface_matches_ratio 0,9697
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,8750
surface_wr_p2 57,5758
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,7568
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0625
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,2795
first_serve_won_diff 0,1048
second_serve_won_diff -1,8764
bp_saved_diff 1,1676
bp_converted_diff -4,3253
aces_per_match_diff -0,3845
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 36,8250
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 7,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5574
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6980
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5714
serve_consistency_p1 5,7972
serve_consistency_p2 6,2089
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 20,8227
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0587
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0142
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3700
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,5141
utr_advantage -3,0365
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22960
API ID 15328447
Gamdom ID 580613
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22960,
    "api_id": 15328447,
    "gamdom_id": 580613,
    "player1": "Yulia Putintseva",
    "player2": "Emma Navarro",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T07:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.63,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.46,
      "p2": 1.58
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.36,
      "p2": 1.57
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1572,
    "prob_p2": 0.8428,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8428,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 94,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 104,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.875,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 15,
      "utr_singles": 12.31,
      "utr_ranking": 41,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 104,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.31,
      "ranking": 41,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.5141176470588235,
    "utr_diff": -0.3699999999999992,
    "rank_ratio": 0.14285714285714285,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -1726,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.1676136363636331,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 7,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 49.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.875,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.57575757575758,
    "utr_advantage": -3.036520311858837,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -12,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.9459101490553135,
    "rank_advantage": -90,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": -10.700757575757578,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.325284090909086,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.279450757575752,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5573770491803278,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6979591836734694,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.384469696969697,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.10482954545454248,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.0625,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.79721073677595,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.208854903962617,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 20.822712769247204,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.22222222222222,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.75675675675676,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.8764204545454533,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9696969696969697,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 36.824999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05874999999999997,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.014242424242424168,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.534534534534536,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}