Tatjana Maria vs Anna Bondar
Hobart | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 08:30
14 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anna Bondar
Tatjana …: 42,8%
Anna …: 57,2%
¿Por qué Anna Bondar?
UTR 11,90 vs 12,04
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tatjana … | Anna … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,40 | 33,3% |
| Gamdom | 3,25 | 1,37 | 30,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,34 | 1,75 | 42,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tatjana …: +11,0%
Anna …: -11,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tatjana Maria
Ranking
#42
UTR Rating
11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#131
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
9/27 = 33,3%
Anna Bondar
Ranking
#74
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#96
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
14/30 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 33,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,7857 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5798 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 352,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 14,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -10,9962 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 35,4839 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,0588 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,8990 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -8,1815 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,1881 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,9726 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,8607 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,2259 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -17,0080 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5652 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6579 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5385 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,5609 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,2362 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -7,7309 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1997 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0003 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -13,3333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4635 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22962
API ID
15328386
Gamdom ID
580577
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22962,
"api_id": 15328386,
"gamdom_id": 580577,
"player1": "Tatjana Maria",
"player2": "Anna Bondar",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-14T04:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.25,
"p2": 1.37
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.21,
"p2": 1.34
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4281,
"prob_p2": 0.5719,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5719,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 42,
"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 131,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 74,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 96,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 131,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 96,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4635294117647058,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.7857142857142858,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 352,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.972592592592598,
"h2h_wins_diff": 2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -7.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.666666666666664,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 14,
"h2h_on_surface": 2,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5798184952529422,
"rank_advantage": 33,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.333333333333336,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.860740740740745,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.899037037037026,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5652173913043478,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6578947368421053,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.2259259259259263,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -8.181481481481477,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.560863713906564,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.23616480837856,
"surface_rank_synergy": -7.73091327003923,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 35.483870967741936,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.05882352941176,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.1881481481481444,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -17.007999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -13.333333333333336,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.19966666666666666,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.00033333333333346316,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.996204933586334,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}