Tatjana Maria vs Anna Bondar
Hobart | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anna Bondar
Tatjana …: 42,8% Anna …: 57,2%
¿Por qué Anna Bondar?
UTR 11,90 vs 12,04 — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tatjana … Anna … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,40 33,3%
Gamdom 3,25 1,37 30,8%
IA Fair Odds 2,34 1,75 42,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Tatjana …: +11,0% Anna …: -11,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tatjana Maria
Ranking #42
UTR Rating 11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #131
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 9/27 = 33,3%
Anna Bondar
Ranking #74
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #96
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/30 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 33,0000
rank_ratio 1,7857
log_rank_ratio 0,5798
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 352,0000
best_rank_diff 14,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -13,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -10,9962
surface_matches_ratio 0,9000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 33,3333
surface_wr_p2 46,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 35,4839
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,0588
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,8990
first_serve_won_diff -8,1815
second_serve_won_diff -1,1881
bp_saved_diff -5,9726
bp_converted_diff -1,8607
aces_per_match_diff -1,2259
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -17,0080
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 2,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 2,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,4000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5652
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6579
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5385
serve_consistency_p1 13,5609
serve_consistency_p2 8,2362
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -7,7309
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1997
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0003
elite_surface_amplifier -13,3333
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4635
utr_p2 0,4635
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22962
API ID 15328386
Gamdom ID 580577
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22962,
    "api_id": 15328386,
    "gamdom_id": 580577,
    "player1": "Tatjana Maria",
    "player2": "Anna Bondar",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T04:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.25,
      "p2": 1.37
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.21,
      "p2": 1.34
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4281,
    "prob_p2": 0.5719,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5719,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 42,
      "utr_singles": 11.9,
      "utr_ranking": 131,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 74,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 96,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.9,
      "ranking": 131,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 96,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4635294117647058,
    "utr_p2": 0.4635294117647058,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.7857142857142858,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 352,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.972592592592598,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 2,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -7.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 46.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 14,
    "h2h_on_surface": 2,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5798184952529422,
    "rank_advantage": 33,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -13.333333333333336,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.860740740740745,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.899037037037026,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5652173913043478,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6578947368421053,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.2259259259259263,
    "combined_confidence": 0.95,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -8.181481481481477,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.560863713906564,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.23616480837856,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -7.73091327003923,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 35.483870967741936,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.05882352941176,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.1881481481481444,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -17.007999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -13.333333333333336,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.19966666666666666,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.00033333333333346316,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.996204933586334,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}