Alexander Blockx vs Alex Molcan
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 09:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Blockx
Alexander …: 67,4% Alex …: 32,6%
¿Por qué Alexander Blockx?
UTR 15,08 vs 14,59 (+0,36) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Alex … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,31 3,50 76,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,48 3,07 67,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Blockx
Ranking #96
UTR Rating 15,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #84
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 37/53 = 69,8%
Alex Molcan
Ranking #206
UTR Rating 14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #149
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 44% (9p)
WR Hard 7/11 = 63,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 110,0000
rank_ratio 2,1579
log_rank_ratio 0,7691
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 367,0000
best_rank_diff -63,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 6,1750
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,0912
surface_matches_ratio 4,8182
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 69,8113
surface_wr_p2 63,6364
surface_wr_p1_stable 68,4211
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,0000
p1_surface_matches 53,0000
p2_surface_matches 11,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3962
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4467
combined_confidence 0,7233
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,9038
first_serve_won_diff 3,7370
second_serve_won_diff -1,4091
bp_saved_diff 9,7930
bp_converted_diff 1,9487
aces_per_match_diff 2,7290
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 5,2500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4286
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7500
serve_consistency_p1 8,1910
serve_consistency_p2 4,4551
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,7494
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0881
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2464
elite_surface_amplifier 12,3499
UTR
utr_diff 0,3600
utr_p1 0,8153
utr_p2 0,7729
utr_advantage 2,4407
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22963
API ID 15361797
Gamdom ID 594893
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22963,
    "api_id": 15361797,
    "gamdom_id": 594893,
    "player1": "Alexander Blockx",
    "player2": "Alex Molcan",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T05:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.31,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.54
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6739,
    "prob_p2": 0.3261,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6739,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 96,
      "utr_singles": 15.08,
      "utr_ranking": 84,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.81132075471697,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 53,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 206,
      "utr_singles": 14.59,
      "utr_ranking": 149,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 44.44444444444444,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.08,
      "ranking": 84,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.59,
      "ranking": 149,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8152941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.7729411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 0.35999999999999943,
    "rank_ratio": 2.1578947368421053,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 367,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 9.792967409948545,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 9.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 69.81132075471697,
    "surface_wr_p2": 63.63636363636363,
    "utr_advantage": 2.440677966101691,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -63,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.7691330875378674,
    "rank_advantage": 110,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 6.1749571183533405,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.9487135506003455,
    "p1_surface_matches": 53,
    "p2_surface_matches": 11,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.90377358490565,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.7289879931389365,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7233333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.737049742710113,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.39622641509433965,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.190962994480111,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.455119197100009,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.749363833853037,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.42105263157895,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.4090909090909136,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.818181818181818,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 5.25,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 12.349914236706681,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08811320754716978,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.24636363636363634,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.091228070175437,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}