Jurij Rodionov vs Zachary Svajda
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 11:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Zachary Svajda
Jurij …: 49,7% Zachary …: 50,3%
¿Por qué Zachary Svajda?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jurij … Zachary … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,40 36,4%
Gamdom 2,70 1,48 37,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,01 1,99 49,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Jurij …: +15,9% Zachary …: -15,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jurij Rodionov
Ranking #167
UTR Rating 14,34 Pro
UTR Ranking #223
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 19/32 = 59,4%
Zachary Svajda
Ranking #143
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 18/32 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -24,0000
rank_ratio 0,8563
log_rank_ratio -0,1551
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -83,0000
best_rank_diff 15,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 3,1250
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,7778
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 59,3750
surface_wr_p2 56,2500
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,5556
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1875
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,1384
first_serve_won_diff -2,1594
second_serve_won_diff -2,4875
bp_saved_diff -5,3250
bp_converted_diff -7,3656
aces_per_match_diff -0,6563
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -3,8810
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0962
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4444
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7333
serve_consistency_p1 7,7396
serve_consistency_p2 4,8894
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,4848
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1178
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0385
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7447
utr_p2 0,7447
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22964
API ID 15361798
Gamdom ID 594870
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22964,
    "api_id": 15361798,
    "gamdom_id": 594870,
    "player1": "Jurij Rodionov",
    "player2": "Zachary Svajda",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T07:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.7,
      "p2": 1.48
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.59,
      "p2": 1.47
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4966,
    "prob_p2": 0.5034,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5034,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 167,
      "utr_singles": 14.34,
      "utr_ranking": 223,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.375,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 143,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.34,
      "ranking": 223,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7447058823529412,
    "utr_p2": 0.7447058823529412,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8562874251497006,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -83,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.325000000000003,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 59.375,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.25,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 15,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.15514918215684786,
    "rank_advantage": -24,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 3.125,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.365625000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.138437500000002,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0961538461538463,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.65625,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.159374999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1875,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.739598854260842,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.8894417068476965,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.4848411942401496,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.4875000000000043,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -3.8810000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11775000000000002,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03849999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.7777777777777786,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}