Jurij Rodionov vs Zachary Svajda
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 11:00
14 Ene 2026, 11:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Zachary Svajda
Jurij …: 49,7%
Zachary …: 50,3%
¿Por qué Zachary Svajda?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jurij … | Zachary … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,75 | 1,40 | 36,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,70 | 1,48 | 37,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,01 | 1,99 | 49,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jurij …: +15,9%
Zachary …: -15,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jurij Rodionov
Ranking
#167
UTR Rating
14,34 Pro
UTR Ranking
#223
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
19/32 = 59,4%
Zachary Svajda
Ranking
#143
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/32 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -24,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8563 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1551 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -83,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 15,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 3,1250 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,7778 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 59,3750 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,5556 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1875 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,1384 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,1594 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,4875 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,3250 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,3656 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,6563 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -3,8810 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0962 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,7396 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,8894 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,4848 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1178 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0385 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7447 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7447 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22964
API ID
15361798
Gamdom ID
594870
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22964,
"api_id": 15361798,
"gamdom_id": 594870,
"player1": "Jurij Rodionov",
"player2": "Zachary Svajda",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T07:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.7,
"p2": 1.48
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.59,
"p2": 1.47
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4966,
"prob_p2": 0.5034,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5034,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 167,
"utr_singles": 14.34,
"utr_ranking": 223,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.375,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 143,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.34,
"ranking": 223,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7447058823529412,
"utr_p2": 0.7447058823529412,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.8562874251497006,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -83,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.325000000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 59.375,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.25,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 15,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.15514918215684786,
"rank_advantage": -24,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 3.125,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.365625000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.138437500000002,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0961538461538463,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.65625,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.159374999999997,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1875,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.739598854260842,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.8894417068476965,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.4848411942401496,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.4875000000000043,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -3.8810000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11775000000000002,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03849999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.7777777777777786,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}