Leandro Riedi vs Kimmer Coppejans
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 08:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Leandro Riedi
Leandro …: 74,0% Kimmer …: 26,1%
¿Por qué Leandro Riedi?
UTR 14,86 vs 14,29 (+0,61) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Leandro … Kimmer … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,2%
Gamdom 1,38 3,10 72,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,35 3,84 74,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Leandro …: +9,4% Kimmer …: -9,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Leandro Riedi
Ranking #180
UTR Rating 14,86 Pro
UTR Ranking #102
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 11/15 = 73,3%
Kimmer Coppejans
Ranking #252
UTR Rating 14,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #240
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 16/27 = 59,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 70,0000
rank_ratio 1,3889
log_rank_ratio 0,3285
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 108,0000
best_rank_diff -20,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 14,0741
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,2496
surface_matches_ratio 0,5556
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 73,3333
surface_wr_p2 59,2593
surface_wr_p1_stable 68,4211
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,0645
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 27,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 0,9000
combined_confidence 0,7000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,1081
first_serve_won_diff 1,9407
second_serve_won_diff 5,2000
bp_saved_diff 0,1481
bp_converted_diff -10,5778
aces_per_match_diff 2,2889
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 18,5100
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3750
serve_consistency_p1 12,5829
serve_consistency_p2 7,0704
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,6234
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1633
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1626
elite_surface_amplifier 14,0741
UTR
utr_diff 0,6100
utr_p1 0,8024
utr_p2 0,7306
utr_advantage 4,2025
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22965
API ID 15361785
Gamdom ID 594749
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22965,
    "api_id": 15361785,
    "gamdom_id": 594749,
    "player1": "Leandro Riedi",
    "player2": "Kimmer Coppejans",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T04:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.625
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.38,
      "p2": 3.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.35,
      "p2": 3.06
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7395,
    "prob_p2": 0.2605,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7395,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 180,
      "utr_singles": 14.86,
      "utr_ranking": 102,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 73.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 252,
      "utr_singles": 14.29,
      "utr_ranking": 240,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.25925925925925,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.86,
      "ranking": 102,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.29,
      "ranking": 240,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.7305882352941178,
    "utr_diff": 0.6099999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3888888888888888,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 108,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.14814814814813815,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 9.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9,
    "surface_wr_p1": 73.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 59.25925925925925,
    "utr_advantage": 4.202549087151219,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -20,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.32850406697203605,
    "rank_advantage": 70,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 14.074074074074076,
    "bp_converted_diff": -10.57777777777778,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 27,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.108148148148146,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.2888888888888888,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.9407407407407504,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.582927005632646,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.070414616950012,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.6233905721990265,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.42105263157895,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.06451612903226,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.199999999999996,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5555555555555556,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 18.510000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 14.074074074074076,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16333333333333322,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16259259259259262,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.2495755517826765,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}