Tomás Barrios Vera vs Michael Zheng
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 09:25
14 Ene 2026, 09:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Michael Zheng
Tomás …: 27,4%
Michael …: 72,6%
¿Por qué Michael Zheng?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tomás … | Michael … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,62 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,80 | 1,44 | 35,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,65 | 1,38 | 27,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tomás …: -15,0%
Michael …: +15,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomás Barrios Vera
Ranking
#107
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42,9%
Michael Zheng
Ranking
#174
UTR Rating
14,75 General
UTR Ranking
#124
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
22/29 = 75,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 67,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,6262 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4862 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 228,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 87,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -33,0049 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15,1051 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2414 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 75,8621 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,5138 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 72,7273 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6800 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,2258 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -9,3414 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,7862 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,5241 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,6103 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3596 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1333 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| momentum_diff | 3,3333 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,7850 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,2177 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,9332 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -16,0479 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1384 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3256 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7894 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22966
API ID
15361736
Gamdom ID
594613
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22966,
"api_id": 15361736,
"gamdom_id": 594613,
"player1": "Tom\u00e1s Barrios Vera",
"player2": "Michael Zheng",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T05:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.6153846153846154
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.8,
"p2": 1.44
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.71,
"p2": 1.43
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2736,
"prob_p2": 0.7264,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7264,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 107,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 174,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 124,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.86206896551724,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.75,
"ranking": 124,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7894117647058825,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.6261682242990654,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
"points_diff": 228,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.5241379310344882,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.13333333333333341,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 3.3333333333333286,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 75.86206896551724,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 87,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.4862264647526228,
"rank_advantage": 67,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -33.004926108374384,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.610344827586211,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.225763546798028,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3596059113300494,
"combined_confidence": 0.6799999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -9.341379310344834,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.217722144701979,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.933180286983736,
"surface_rank_synergy": -16.047868541096417,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.51383399209486,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.72727272727273,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.7862068965517253,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.2413793103448276,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.78500000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1384285714285714,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3256206896551723,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.105138339920954,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3
},
"feature_importance": {}
}