Tomás Barrios Vera vs Michael Zheng
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 09:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Michael Zheng
Tomás …: 27,4% Michael …: 72,6%
¿Por qué Michael Zheng?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tomás … Michael … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,62 45,5%
Gamdom 2,80 1,44 35,7%
IA Fair Odds 3,65 1,38 27,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Tomás …: -15,0% Michael …: +15,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomás Barrios Vera
Ranking #107
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 3/7 = 42,9%
Michael Zheng
Ranking #174
UTR Rating 14,75 General
UTR Ranking #124
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 22/29 = 75,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 67,0000
rank_ratio 1,6262
log_rank_ratio 0,4862
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 228,0000
best_rank_diff 87,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -33,0049
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,1051
surface_matches_ratio 0,2414
surface_tournaments_won_diff -3,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 75,8621
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,5138
surface_wr_p2_stable 72,7273
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,6800
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8,2258
first_serve_won_diff -9,3414
second_serve_won_diff -2,7862
bp_saved_diff -3,5241
bp_converted_diff -6,6103
aces_per_match_diff -1,3596
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1333
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 66,6667
momentum_diff 3,3333
weighted_momentum_diff 8,7850
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 8,2177
serve_consistency_p2 3,9332
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -16,0479
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1384
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3256
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7894
utr_p2 0,7894
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22966
API ID 15361736
Gamdom ID 594613
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22966,
    "api_id": 15361736,
    "gamdom_id": 594613,
    "player1": "Tom\u00e1s Barrios Vera",
    "player2": "Michael Zheng",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T05:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.6153846153846154
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.8,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.71,
      "p2": 1.43
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2736,
    "prob_p2": 0.7264,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7264,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 107,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 174,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 124,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.86206896551724,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 124,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7894117647058825,
    "utr_p2": 0.7894117647058825,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.6261682242990654,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
    "points_diff": 228,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.5241379310344882,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.13333333333333341,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 3.3333333333333286,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 75.86206896551724,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 87,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.4862264647526228,
    "rank_advantage": 67,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -33.004926108374384,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.610344827586211,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.225763546798028,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.3596059113300494,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6799999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -9.341379310344834,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.217722144701979,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.933180286983736,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -16.047868541096417,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.51383399209486,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.72727272727273,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.7862068965517253,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.2413793103448276,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 8.78500000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1384285714285714,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3256206896551723,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.105138339920954,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}