Jason Kubler vs Vilius Gaubas
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 11:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jason Kubler
Jason …: 80,9% Vilius …: 19,1%
¿Por qué Jason Kubler?
UTR 14,77 vs 14,46 (+0,28) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jason … Vilius … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,38 65,2%
Gamdom 1,55 2,48 64,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,24 5,25 80,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Jason …: +20,2% Vilius …: -20,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jason Kubler
Ranking #194
UTR Rating 14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #115
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/26 = 61,5%
Vilius Gaubas
Ranking #129
UTR Rating 14,46 Pro
UTR Ranking #182
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 4/10 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -63,0000
rank_ratio 0,6719
log_rank_ratio -0,3977
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -164,0000
best_rank_diff 65,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 21,5385
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,1429
surface_matches_ratio 2,6000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 61,5385
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,8571
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 10,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2308
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,4333
combined_confidence 0,6500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 21,0703
first_serve_won_diff 13,4000
second_serve_won_diff 10,2600
bp_saved_diff 1,5000
bp_converted_diff -2,6600
aces_per_match_diff 5,6462
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 3,6550
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 10,3190
serve_consistency_p2 9,6874
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -8,5655
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1784
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1630
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2800
utr_p1 0,7941
utr_p2 0,7612
utr_advantage 1,9165
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22967
API ID 15361735
Gamdom ID 594611
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22967,
    "api_id": 15361735,
    "gamdom_id": 594611,
    "player1": "Jason Kubler",
    "player2": "Vilius Gaubas",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T07:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5333333333333332,
      "p2": 2.375
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.55,
      "p2": 2.48
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.52,
      "p2": 2.42
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8094,
    "prob_p2": 0.1906,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8094,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 194,
      "utr_singles": 14.77,
      "utr_ranking": 115,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 129,
      "utr_singles": 14.46,
      "utr_ranking": 182,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.77,
      "ranking": 115,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.46,
      "ranking": 182,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7941176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.7611764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.27999999999999936,
    "rank_ratio": 0.671875,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -164,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "surface_wr_p1": 61.53846153846154,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.9164955509924666,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 65,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.39768296766610944,
    "rank_advantage": -63,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 21.53846153846154,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.6600000000000037,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "serve_quality_diff": 21.0703076923077,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.646153846153846,
    "combined_confidence": 0.65,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 13.399999999999991,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.23076923076923078,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.319048205999323,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.687382128667615,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -8.565479303577742,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 10.260000000000005,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.6,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 3.6550000000000153,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17838461538461536,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.16299999999999992,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.142857142857146,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}