Mackenzie McDonald vs Hugo Grenier
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 10:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mackenzie McDonald
Mackenzie …: 62,5% Hugo …: 37,6%
¿Por qué Mackenzie McDonald?
UTR 14,76 vs 14,50 (+0,32) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mackenzie … Hugo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,05 11,00 95,2%
Gamdom 1,59 2,37 62,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,60 2,66 62,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Mackenzie …: -28,8% Hugo …: +28,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mackenzie McDonald
Ranking #113
UTR Rating 14,76 Pro
UTR Ranking #110
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 22/41 = 53,7%
Hugo Grenier
Ranking #179
UTR Rating 14,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 36/60 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 66,0000
rank_ratio 1,5841
log_rank_ratio 0,4600
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 219,0000
best_rank_diff 58,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,3415
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,0417
surface_matches_ratio 0,6833
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,6585
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,3750
p1_surface_matches 41,0000
p2_surface_matches 60,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0732
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,3552
first_serve_won_diff -2,0617
second_serve_won_diff -0,1463
bp_saved_diff -3,4242
bp_converted_diff 0,4304
aces_per_match_diff -2,6402
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,4050
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6410
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4286
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4348
serve_consistency_p1 5,9844
serve_consistency_p2 5,3538
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,9171
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0294
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1660
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3200
utr_p1 0,8012
utr_p2 0,7635
utr_advantage 2,1843
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22968
API ID 15362160
Gamdom ID 595238
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22968,
    "api_id": 15362160,
    "gamdom_id": 595238,
    "player1": "Mackenzie McDonald",
    "player2": "Hugo Grenier",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T06:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 11.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.59,
      "p2": 2.37
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.59,
      "p2": 2.29
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6245,
    "prob_p2": 0.3755,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6245,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 113,
      "utr_singles": 14.76,
      "utr_ranking": 110,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 179,
      "utr_singles": 14.5,
      "utr_ranking": 179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 36,
      "wr_surface_total": 60,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 14.76,
      "ranking": 110,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.5,
      "ranking": 179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.7635294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 0.3200000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 1.584070796460177,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 219,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.4241869918699237,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.65853658536586,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.18430034129693,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 58,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.45999798712841444,
    "rank_advantage": 66,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.341463414634141,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.430447154471544,
    "p1_surface_matches": 41,
    "p2_surface_matches": 60,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.355223577235776,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6410256410256411,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.6402439024390247,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.0616666666666674,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07317073170731707,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.984435940214193,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.353774854891745,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.917060406180187,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.375,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.14634146341464316,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6833333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.4049999999999869,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.02941463414634149,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16600000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.041666666666664,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}