Carol Young-suh Lee vs Elena Micic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 06:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Carol Young-suh Lee
Carol …: 63,6% Elena …: 36,4%
¿Por qué Carol Young-suh Lee?
UTR 11,65 vs 10,82 (+0,82) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (34%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Carol … Elena … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,3%
Gamdom 1,30 3,65 76,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,57 2,75 63,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Carol …: -5,1% Elena …: +5,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carol Young-suh Lee
Ranking #210
UTR Rating 11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #197
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Elena Micic
Ranking #352
UTR Rating 10,82 Pro
UTR Ranking #600
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (6p)
WR Hard 2/4 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 139,0000
rank_ratio 1,6651
log_rank_ratio 0,5099
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 170,0000
best_rank_diff 139,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,3400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,3100
first_serve_won_diff 3,6000
second_serve_won_diff -13,3000
bp_saved_diff 11,5000
bp_converted_diff 5,7000
aces_per_match_diff 2,7500
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 48,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,8700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,1348
serve_consistency_p2 7,4286
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1390
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1390
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,8200
utr_p1 0,4271
utr_p2 0,3306
utr_advantage 7,3084
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22969
API ID 15361669
Gamdom ID 594557
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22969,
    "api_id": 15361669,
    "gamdom_id": 594557,
    "player1": "Carol Young-suh Lee",
    "player2": "Elena Micic",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T02:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.65
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.52
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6364,
    "prob_p2": 0.3636,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6364,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 210,
      "utr_singles": 11.65,
      "utr_ranking": 197,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 352,
      "utr_singles": 10.82,
      "utr_ranking": 600,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.65,
      "ranking": 197,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.82,
      "ranking": 600,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4270588235294119,
    "utr_p2": 0.3305882352941177,
    "utr_diff": 0.8200000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 1.6650717703349283,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 170,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 11.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -1.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 7.308377896613193,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 139,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5098682278096633,
    "rank_advantage": 139,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.700000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.3100000000000023,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.75,
    "combined_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.6000000000000085,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.134784871928487,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.428578515276293,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -13.299999999999997,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.8700000000000045,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.139,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.139,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}