Chloe Paquet vs Zhuoxuan Bai
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 08:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Chloe Paquet
Chloe …: 55,0% Zhuoxuan …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Chloe Paquet?
UTR 11,68 vs 11,00 (+0,95) — Niveles similares
Chloe …
Sin datos
Zhuoxuan …
W3-L4
43% WR
vs UTR 11,1
L1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Chloe … Zhuoxuan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,6%
Gamdom 2,28 1,67 43,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,82 2,22 55,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Chloe …: -3,9% Zhuoxuan …: +3,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Chloe Paquet
Ranking #240
UTR Rating 11,68 Pro
UTR Ranking #184
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 4/14 = 28,6%
Zhuoxuan Bai
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #497
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (5p)
WR Hard 2/3 = 66,7%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Chloe Paquet
Sin datos UTR v4
Zhuoxuan Bai
Record 2025 3W - 4L (43%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,1
Últimos 5:
L W W L L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 263,0000
rank_ratio 2,1097
log_rank_ratio 0,7465
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 303,0000
best_rank_diff 404,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -38,0952
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -12,5968
surface_matches_ratio 4,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 28,5714
surface_wr_p2 66,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 33,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,8095
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 3,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4286
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 0,3400
combined_confidence 0,4133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,5529
first_serve_won_diff -0,3571
second_serve_won_diff 0,0571
bp_saved_diff -4,2071
bp_converted_diff -35,0071
aces_per_match_diff 3,3571
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 48,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -16,1660
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,7202
serve_consistency_p2 7,7664
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -28,4399
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4773
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,4297
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,9500
utr_p1 0,4412
utr_p2 0,3294
utr_advantage 8,4257
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22970
API ID 15361725
Gamdom ID 594600
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22970,
    "api_id": 15361725,
    "gamdom_id": 594600,
    "player1": "Chloe Paquet",
    "player2": "Zhuoxuan Bai",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T04:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5714285714285714,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.28,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.16,
      "p2": 1.65
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.55,
    "prob_p2": 0.45,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.55,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 240,
      "utr_singles": 11.68,
      "utr_ranking": 184,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 497,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 3,
      "utr_v4_losses": 4,
      "utr_v4_wr": 42.857142857142854,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.09,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.8,
          "opponent_name": "Dominika Salkova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.75,
          "opponent_name": "Hanyu Guo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.3,
          "opponent_name": "Ann Li"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jiaqi Wang"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.98,
          "opponent_name": "Priska Madelyn Nugroho"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:09.074347+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.68,
      "ranking": 184,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 497,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4411764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.32941176470588246,
    "utr_diff": 0.9499999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 2.109704641350211,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 303,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.2071428571428555,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -19.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "surface_wr_p1": 28.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
    "utr_advantage": 8.425720620842565,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 404,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.7465479572870606,
    "rank_advantage": 263,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -38.09523809523809,
    "bp_converted_diff": -35.00714285714286,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 3,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.552857142857157,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.3571428571428568,
    "combined_confidence": 0.41333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.357142857142847,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.720194956463305,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.766401666068933,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -28.439922182364207,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.809523809523796,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.057142857142864045,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -16.166000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.4772857142857143,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.42966666666666653,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.596825396825393,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}