Chloe Paquet vs Zhuoxuan Bai
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 08:50
14 Ene 2026, 08:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Chloe Paquet
Chloe …: 55,0%
Zhuoxuan …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Chloe Paquet?
UTR 11,68 vs 11,00
(+0,95)
— Niveles similares
Chloe …
Sin datos
Zhuoxuan …
W3-L4
43% WR
vs UTR 11,1
L1
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Chloe … | Zhuoxuan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,6% |
| Gamdom | 2,28 | 1,67 | 43,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,82 | 2,22 | 55,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Chloe …: -3,9%
Zhuoxuan …: +3,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Chloe Paquet
Ranking
#240
UTR Rating
11,68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#184
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
4/14 = 28,6%
Zhuoxuan Bai
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#497
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
2/3 = 66,7%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Chloe Paquet
Sin datos UTR v4
Zhuoxuan Bai
Record 2025
3W - 4L (43%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
11,1
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 263,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,1097 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7465 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 303,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 404,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -38,0952 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -12,5968 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,8095 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4133 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,5529 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,3571 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0571 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,2071 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -35,0071 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,3571 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -16,1660 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,7202 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,7664 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -28,4399 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4773 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,4297 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,9500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4412 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3294 | |
| utr_advantage | 8,4257 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22970
API ID
15361725
Gamdom ID
594600
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22970,
"api_id": 15361725,
"gamdom_id": 594600,
"player1": "Chloe Paquet",
"player2": "Zhuoxuan Bai",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T04:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5714285714285714,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.28,
"p2": 1.67
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.16,
"p2": 1.65
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.55,
"prob_p2": 0.45,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.55,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 240,
"utr_singles": 11.68,
"utr_ranking": 184,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 497,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 3,
"utr_v4_losses": 4,
"utr_v4_wr": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.09,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.8,
"opponent_name": "Dominika Salkova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.75,
"opponent_name": "Hanyu Guo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.3,
"opponent_name": "Ann Li"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Jiaqi Wang"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.98,
"opponent_name": "Priska Madelyn Nugroho"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:09.074347+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.68,
"ranking": 184,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 497,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4411764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.32941176470588246,
"utr_diff": 0.9499999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 2.109704641350211,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 303,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.2071428571428555,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -19.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"surface_wr_p1": 28.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": 8.425720620842565,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 404,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7465479572870606,
"rank_advantage": 263,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -38.09523809523809,
"bp_converted_diff": -35.00714285714286,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 3,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.552857142857157,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.3571428571428568,
"combined_confidence": 0.41333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.357142857142847,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.720194956463305,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.766401666068933,
"surface_rank_synergy": -28.439922182364207,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.809523809523796,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.057142857142864045,
"surface_matches_ratio": 4.666666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -16.166000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.4772857142857143,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.42966666666666653,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.596825396825393,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}