Claire Liu vs Maddison Inglis
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 09:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Claire Liu
Claire …: 66,2% Maddison …: 33,8%
¿Por qué Claire Liu?
UTR 11,83 vs 11,73 (+0,10) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Claire … Maddison … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,29 3,50 77,8%
Gamdom 1,68 2,24 59,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,51 2,96 66,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Claire …: -6,9% Maddison …: +6,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Claire Liu
Ranking #227
UTR Rating 11,83 Pro
UTR Ranking #149
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 12/19 = 63,2%
Maddison Inglis
Ranking #168
UTR Rating 11,73 Pro
UTR Ranking #173
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 18/33 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -59,0000
rank_ratio 0,7389
log_rank_ratio -0,3025
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -97,0000
best_rank_diff 60,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 8,6124
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 5,5660
surface_matches_ratio 0,5758
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,1579
surface_wr_p2 54,5455
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,8696
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,0541
p1_surface_matches 19,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2632
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,1565
first_serve_won_diff -4,7000
second_serve_won_diff -4,9000
bp_saved_diff 12,4000
bp_converted_diff -1,4000
aces_per_match_diff 1,3317
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,5150
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3939
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 8,0711
serve_consistency_p2 9,4732
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,6056
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1906
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0135
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1000
utr_p1 0,4518
utr_p2 0,4400
utr_advantage 0,8482
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22971
API ID 15361754
Gamdom ID 594615
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22971,
    "api_id": 15361754,
    "gamdom_id": 594615,
    "player1": "Claire Liu",
    "player2": "Maddison Inglis",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T05:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2857142857142856,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.68,
      "p2": 2.24
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.65,
      "p2": 2.17
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.662,
    "prob_p2": 0.338,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.662,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 227,
      "utr_singles": 11.83,
      "utr_ranking": 149,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 168,
      "utr_singles": 11.73,
      "utr_ranking": 173,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.83,
      "ranking": 149,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.73,
      "ranking": 173,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4517647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.44,
    "utr_diff": 0.09999999999999964,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7389380530973452,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": -97,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 12.399999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
    "utr_advantage": 0.8481764206955017,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 60,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.3025411868555307,
    "rank_advantage": -59,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 8.612440191387563,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.3999999999999986,
    "p1_surface_matches": 19,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.156523125996813,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3939393939393939,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.3317384370015946,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.699999999999996,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.071138934340736,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.473155928898674,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.6056178772246676,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.054054054054056,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.899999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5757575757575758,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.5150000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19057894736842107,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.013545454545454638,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.566000783392092,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}