Claire Liu vs Maddison Inglis
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 09:20
14 Ene 2026, 09:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Claire Liu
Claire …: 66,2%
Maddison …: 33,8%
¿Por qué Claire Liu?
UTR 11,83 vs 11,73
(+0,10)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Claire … | Maddison … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,29 | 3,50 | 77,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,68 | 2,24 | 59,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,51 | 2,96 | 66,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Claire …: -6,9%
Maddison …: +6,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Claire Liu
Ranking
#227
UTR Rating
11,83 Pro
UTR Ranking
#149
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
12/19 = 63,2%
Maddison Inglis
Ranking
#168
UTR Rating
11,73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#173
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
18/33 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -59,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7389 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3025 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -97,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 60,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8,6124 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,5660 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5758 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,1579 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,8696 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,0541 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2632 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,1565 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,9000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 12,4000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,3317 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,5150 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3939 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,0711 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,4732 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,6056 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1906 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0135 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4518 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4400 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,8482 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22971
API ID
15361754
Gamdom ID
594615
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22971,
"api_id": 15361754,
"gamdom_id": 594615,
"player1": "Claire Liu",
"player2": "Maddison Inglis",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T05:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2857142857142856,
"p2": 3.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.68,
"p2": 2.24
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.65,
"p2": 2.17
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.662,
"prob_p2": 0.338,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.662,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 227,
"utr_singles": 11.83,
"utr_ranking": 149,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 168,
"utr_singles": 11.73,
"utr_ranking": 173,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.83,
"ranking": 149,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.73,
"ranking": 173,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4517647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.44,
"utr_diff": 0.09999999999999964,
"rank_ratio": 0.7389380530973452,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": -97,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 12.399999999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
"utr_advantage": 0.8481764206955017,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 60,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.3025411868555307,
"rank_advantage": -59,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.612440191387563,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.3999999999999986,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.156523125996813,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3939393939393939,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.3317384370015946,
"combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.699999999999996,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.071138934340736,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.473155928898674,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.6056178772246676,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.054054054054056,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.899999999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5757575757575758,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.5150000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19057894736842107,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.013545454545454638,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.566000783392092,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}