Darja Vidmanova vs Dominika Salkova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 08:55
14 Ene 2026, 08:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Darja Vidmanova
Darja …: 56,4%
Dominika …: 43,7%
¿Por qué Darja Vidmanova?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Darja … | Dominika … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,20 | 61,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,75 | 2,13 | 57,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,77 | 2,29 | 56,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Darja …: -1,3%
Dominika …: +1,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Darja Vidmanova
Ranking
#142
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
4/6 = 66,7%
Dominika Salkova
Ranking
#144
UTR Rating
11,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#156
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
11/20 = 55,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0141 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0140 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 5,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,4483 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,1667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5233 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,3868 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 8,8700 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,3950 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,1200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,0950 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,4667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5,5400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,7402 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1514 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,1632 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1647 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0520 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4471 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4471 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22972
API ID
15361737
Gamdom ID
594612
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22972,
"api_id": 15361737,
"gamdom_id": 594612,
"player1": "Darja Vidmanova",
"player2": "Dominika Salkova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T04:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6153846153846154,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.75,
"p2": 2.13
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.68,
"p2": 2.11
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5635,
"prob_p2": 0.4365,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5635,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 142,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 144,
"utr_singles": 11.8,
"utr_ranking": 156,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.00000000000001,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.8,
"ranking": 156,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.44705882352941184,
"utr_p2": 0.44705882352941184,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0140845070422535,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 5,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.1200000000000045,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 10.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 0.38,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.00000000000001,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -11,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.01398624197473987,
"rank_advantage": 2,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.66666666666665,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.095000000000006,
"p1_surface_matches": 6,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.386833333333342,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.4666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.5233333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 8.869999999999997,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.740233203428287,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.151354778369438,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.1631728230386316,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.166666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.395000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.539999999999992,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16466666666666652,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.052000000000000046,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.448333333333333,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}