Darja Vidmanova vs Dominika Salkova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 08:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Darja Vidmanova
Darja …: 56,4% Dominika …: 43,7%
¿Por qué Darja Vidmanova?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Darja … Dominika … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,20 61,9%
Gamdom 1,75 2,13 57,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,77 2,29 56,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Darja …: -1,3% Dominika …: +1,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Darja Vidmanova
Ranking #142
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 4/6 = 66,7%
Dominika Salkova
Ranking #144
UTR Rating 11,80 Pro
UTR Ranking #156
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/20 = 55,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 2,0000
rank_ratio 1,0141
log_rank_ratio 0,0140
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 5,0000
best_rank_diff -11,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 11,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,4483
surface_matches_ratio 0,3000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 66,6667
surface_wr_p2 55,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,1667
p1_surface_matches 6,0000
p2_surface_matches 20,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3800
p2_confidence 0,6667
combined_confidence 0,5233
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,3868
first_serve_won_diff 8,8700
second_serve_won_diff 3,3950
bp_saved_diff 5,1200
bp_converted_diff 8,0950
aces_per_match_diff 1,4667
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 5,5400
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 4,7402
serve_consistency_p2 6,1514
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,1632
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1647
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0520
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4471
utr_p2 0,4471
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22972
API ID 15361737
Gamdom ID 594612
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22972,
    "api_id": 15361737,
    "gamdom_id": 594612,
    "player1": "Darja Vidmanova",
    "player2": "Dominika Salkova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T04:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6153846153846154,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.75,
      "p2": 2.13
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.68,
      "p2": 2.11
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5635,
    "prob_p2": 0.4365,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5635,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 142,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 144,
      "utr_singles": 11.8,
      "utr_ranking": 156,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.00000000000001,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.8,
      "ranking": 156,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.44705882352941184,
    "utr_p2": 0.44705882352941184,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0140845070422535,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 5,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.1200000000000045,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 10.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 0.38,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.00000000000001,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -11,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.01398624197473987,
    "rank_advantage": 2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 11.66666666666665,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.095000000000006,
    "p1_surface_matches": 6,
    "p2_surface_matches": 20,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.386833333333342,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.4666666666666666,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5233333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 8.869999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.740233203428287,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.151354778369438,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.1631728230386316,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.166666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.395000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.3,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 5.539999999999992,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16466666666666652,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.052000000000000046,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.448333333333333,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}