Tamara Korpatsch vs Silvia Ambrosio
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 08:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tamara Korpatsch
Tamara …: 63,7% Silvia …: 36,3%
¿Por qué Tamara Korpatsch?
UTR 11,80 vs 11,47 (+0,36) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tamara … Silvia … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,40 3,10 71,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,57 2,75 63,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tamara Korpatsch
Ranking #124
UTR Rating 11,80 Pro
UTR Ranking #155
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 10/20 = 50,0%
Silvia Ambrosio
Ranking #215
UTR Rating 11,47 Pro
UTR Ranking #275
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 90,0000
rank_ratio 1,7258
log_rank_ratio 0,5457
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 254,0000
best_rank_diff 132,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 50,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,0556
surface_matches_ratio 20,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 33,3333
p1_surface_matches 20,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6667
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,4833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 48,3660
first_serve_won_diff 57,7350
second_serve_won_diff 51,9950
bp_saved_diff 46,9450
bp_converted_diff 43,3850
aces_per_match_diff 1,9500
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 42,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -13,2680
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 12,8847
serve_consistency_p2 7,5972
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 27,2847
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0900
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4100
elite_surface_amplifier 50,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3600
utr_p1 0,4494
utr_p2 0,4071
utr_advantage 3,0928
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22974
API ID 15361753
Gamdom ID 594617
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22974,
    "api_id": 15361753,
    "gamdom_id": 594617,
    "player1": "Tamara Korpatsch",
    "player2": "Silvia Ambrosio",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T04:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 3.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.36,
      "p2": 3.0
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6367,
    "prob_p2": 0.3633,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6367,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 124,
      "utr_singles": 11.8,
      "utr_ranking": 155,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 215,
      "utr_singles": 11.47,
      "utr_ranking": 275,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.8,
      "ranking": 155,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.47,
      "ranking": 275,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4494117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.40705882352941186,
    "utr_diff": 0.35999999999999943,
    "rank_ratio": 1.7258064516129032,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 254,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 46.945,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 3.092783505154634,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 132,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5456944494168147,
    "rank_advantage": 90,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 50.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 43.385000000000005,
    "p1_surface_matches": 20,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 48.366,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.95,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 57.735,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.884675074805376,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.597231443455724,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 27.284722470840734,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 51.995000000000005,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 20.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -13.268,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 50.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09000000000000008,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.4099999999999999,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.055555555555557,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}