Himeno Sakatsume vs Mai Hontama
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 10:40
14 Ene 2026, 10:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Himeno Sakatsume
Himeno …: 74,9%
Mai …: 25,1%
¿Por qué Himeno Sakatsume?
UTR 12,04 vs 11,38
(+0,30)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Himeno … | Mai … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,03 | 17,00 | 97,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,32 | 3,55 | 75,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,34 | 3,98 | 74,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Himeno …: -19,4%
Mai …: +19,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking
#140
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#94
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
4/7 = 57,1%
Mai Hontama
Ranking
#244
UTR Rating
11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#312
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
7/16 = 43,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 102,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,7286 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5473 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 215,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -46,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 13,3929 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,7838 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4375 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,3247 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,2164 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 10,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -10,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,0982 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,3500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3555 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,3332 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7,3298 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0306 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0395 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 13,3929 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4047 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,5884 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22975
API ID
15361871
Gamdom ID
595236
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22975,
"api_id": 15361871,
"gamdom_id": 595236,
"player1": "Himeno Sakatsume",
"player2": "Mai Hontama",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T06:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.025,
"p2": 17.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.32,
"p2": 3.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.29,
"p2": 3.45
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7487,
"prob_p2": 0.2513,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7487,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 140,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 94,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 244,
"utr_singles": 11.38,
"utr_ranking": 312,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.75,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 94,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.38,
"ranking": 312,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.40470588235294114,
"utr_diff": 0.3000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 1.7285714285714286,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 215,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -10.899999999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 7,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 9.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2": 43.75,
"utr_advantage": 2.588438308886978,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -46,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5472953035473821,
"rank_advantage": 102,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": 13.392857142857139,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.3000000000000043,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.216428571428565,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.0982142857142856,
"combined_confidence": 0.4633333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 10.599999999999994,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.355532441914443,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.3332288544641155,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.329847815366723,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.32467532467532,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.600000000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.4375,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.3500000000000085,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 13.392857142857139,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.030571428571428583,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03949999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.783766233766231,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}