Aleksandar Vukic vs Andrea Vavassori
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aleksandar Vukic
Aleksandar …: 57,7% Andrea …: 42,3%
¿Por qué Aleksandar Vukic?
UTR 14,77 vs 14,67 (+0,32) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Aleksandar … Andrea … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,38 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,73 2,36 57,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Aleksandar …: -2,6% Andrea …: +2,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aleksandar Vukic
Ranking #78
UTR Rating 14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #112
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 19/43 = 44,2%
Andrea Vavassori
Ranking #291
UTR Rating 14,67 Pro
UTR Ranking #133
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 8/13 = 61,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 249,0000
rank_ratio 3,8621
log_rank_ratio 1,3512
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 546,0000
best_rank_diff 80,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -17,3524
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -10,4184
surface_matches_ratio 3,3077
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 44,1860
surface_wr_p2 61,5385
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,6809
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,8235
p1_surface_matches 43,0000
p2_surface_matches 13,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1163
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4733
combined_confidence 0,7367
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,5325
first_serve_won_diff 3,7673
second_serve_won_diff -0,0136
bp_saved_diff -2,8789
bp_converted_diff 8,1834
aces_per_match_diff 1,8265
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1014
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2609
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,5524
serve_consistency_p2 6,7197
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -23,4466
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3071
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3644
elite_surface_amplifier -34,7048
UTR
utr_diff 0,3200
utr_p1 0,7988
utr_p2 0,7612
utr_advantage 2,1873
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22978
API ID 15327349
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22978,
    "api_id": 15327349,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Aleksandar Vukic",
    "player2": "Andrea Vavassori",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T04:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5699999999999998,
      "p2": 2.38
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.56,
      "p2": 2.38
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.577,
    "prob_p2": 0.423,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.577,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 78,
      "utr_singles": 14.77,
      "utr_ranking": 112,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.18604651162791,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 43,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 291,
      "utr_singles": 14.67,
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      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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  },
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    "utr_diff": 0.3199999999999985,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
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    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 546,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.8788908765652934,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
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    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2608695652173913,
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    "bp_converted_diff": 8.18336314847943,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1014492753623188,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.8264758497316649,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.767262969588529,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.11627906976744186,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.552414410665944,
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    "surface_rank_synergy": -23.446635958307013,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.680851063829785,
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    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.013595706618957593,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.418439716312061,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}