Marton Fucsovics vs Alexander Shevchenko
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 08:30
14 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marton Fucsovics
Marton …: 85,7%
Alexander …: 14,3%
¿Por qué Marton Fucsovics?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marton … | Alexander … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,53 | 2,50 | 65,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,17 | 7,00 | 85,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Marton …: +23,7%
Alexander …: -23,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marton Fucsovics
Ranking
#54
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
21/29 = 72,4%
Alexander Shevchenko
Ranking
#97
UTR Rating
14,73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#123
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
8/23 = 34,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 49,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,8909 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6371 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 352,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 14,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 37,6312 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 28,3053 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2609 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 72,4138 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 34,7826 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69,6970 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 37,0370 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4483 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,8148 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,6411 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 9,3915 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,4357 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,6787 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,2264 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -27,1800 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -2,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3158 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3818 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4286 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,1728 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,0173 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 23,9732 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1751 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1032 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 37,6312 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7871 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7871 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22979
API ID
15327356
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22979,
"api_id": 15327356,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Marton Fucsovics",
"player2": "Alexander Shevchenko",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-14T04:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.49,
"p2": 2.6
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8571,
"prob_p2": 0.1429,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8571,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 54,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.41379310344827,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 97,
"utr_singles": 14.73,
"utr_ranking": 123,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 34.78260869565217,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 123,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7870588235294117,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.8909090909090909,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 352,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.4356821589205353,
"h2h_wins_diff": -2,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -41.99999999999998,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 72.41379310344827,
"surface_wr_p2": 34.78260869565217,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 14,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6370577139089018,
"rank_advantage": 49,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 37.6311844077961,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.678710644677658,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.8147976011993947,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3157894736842105,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.38181818181818183,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.226386806596702,
"combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.6410794602698644,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4482758620689655,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.1727690033215135,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.01734852215255,
"surface_rank_synergy": 23.973236310514892,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.6969696969697,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.03703703703704,
"second_serve_won_diff": 9.391454272863577,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2608695652173914,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -27.179999999999993,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 37.6311844077961,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17513793103448272,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10317391304347834,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 28.305274971941643,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}