Marton Fucsovics vs Alexander Shevchenko
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marton Fucsovics
Marton …: 85,7% Alexander …: 14,3%
¿Por qué Marton Fucsovics?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Marton … Alexander … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,50 65,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,17 7,00 85,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Marton …: +23,7% Alexander …: -23,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marton Fucsovics
Ranking #54
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 21/29 = 72,4%
Alexander Shevchenko
Ranking #97
UTR Rating 14,73 Pro
UTR Ranking #123
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 8/23 = 34,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 49,0000
rank_ratio 1,8909
log_rank_ratio 0,6371
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 352,0000
best_rank_diff 14,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 37,6312
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 28,3053
surface_matches_ratio 1,2609
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 72,4138
surface_wr_p2 34,7826
surface_wr_p1_stable 69,6970
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,0370
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4483
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,8667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,8148
first_serve_won_diff 1,6411
second_serve_won_diff 9,3915
bp_saved_diff -2,4357
bp_converted_diff 7,6787
aces_per_match_diff -2,2264
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 48,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -42,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -27,1800
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -2,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3158
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3818
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4286
serve_consistency_p1 7,1728
serve_consistency_p2 13,0173
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 23,9732
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1751
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1032
elite_surface_amplifier 37,6312
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7871
utr_p2 0,7871
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22979
API ID 15327356
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
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  "match": {
    "id": 22979,
    "api_id": 15327356,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Marton Fucsovics",
    "player2": "Alexander Shevchenko",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T04:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
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      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
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      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": 2.6
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
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    "prob_p2": 0.1429,
    "winner": 1,
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    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 54,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
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      "wr_surface": 72.41379310344827,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 97,
      "utr_singles": 14.73,
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      "utr_division": "Pro",
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  "utr": {
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  },
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    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
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    "bp_converted_diff": 7.678710644677658,
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    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.226386806596702,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.6410794602698644,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4482758620689655,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.1727690033215135,
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
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  "feature_importance": {}
}