Nuno Borges vs Eliot Spizzirri
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 06:00
14 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nuno Borges
Nuno …: 64,2%
Eliot …: 35,8%
¿Por qué Nuno Borges?
UTR 15,18 vs 15,16
(+0,09)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nuno … | Eliot … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,72 | 2,14 | 58,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,56 | 2,80 | 64,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nuno …: +14,2%
Eliot …: -14,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nuno Borges
Ranking
#46
UTR Rating
15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#64
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/35 = 51,4%
Eliot Spizzirri
Ranking
#85
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
27/44 = 61,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 43,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,9348 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6600 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 398,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 57,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9,9351 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,1346 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7955 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,2821 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,4167 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,2274 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,7825 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,5677 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,1905 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,0821 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,1532 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -10,2300 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7193 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9677 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7391 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,1662 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1390 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -6,5571 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0287 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1566 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -9,9351 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8506 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8400 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,5927 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22980
API ID
15327202
Gamdom ID
579411
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22980,
"api_id": 15327202,
"gamdom_id": 579411,
"player1": "Nuno Borges",
"player2": "Eliot Spizzirri",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-14T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.72,
"p2": 2.14
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.74,
"p2": 2.07
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6423,
"prob_p2": 0.3577,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6423,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 46,
"utr_singles": 15.18,
"utr_ranking": 64,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.42857142857142,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 85,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.18,
"ranking": 64,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.16,
"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8400000000000001,
"utr_diff": 0.08999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 1.934782608695652,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 398,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.190519480519484,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -21.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.42857142857142,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.36363636363637,
"utr_advantage": 0.5926901547579839,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 57,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6599949732430448,
"rank_advantage": 43,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7391304347826086,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.935064935064943,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.0821428571428555,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 44,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.2274415584415621,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7192982456140351,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.967741935483871,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.1532467532467532,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.7825324675324765,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.02857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.166234951905929,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.138991954986514,
"surface_rank_synergy": -6.5570929159861,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.28205128205128,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.416666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.567727272727268,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7954545454545454,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -10.22999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -9.935064935064943,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.028714285714285692,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15663636363636357,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.134615384615387,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}