Nuno Borges vs Eliot Spizzirri
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nuno Borges
Nuno …: 64,2% Eliot …: 35,8%
¿Por qué Nuno Borges?
UTR 15,18 vs 15,16 (+0,09) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nuno … Eliot … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
Gamdom 1,72 2,14 58,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,56 2,80 64,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Nuno …: +14,2% Eliot …: -14,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nuno Borges
Ranking #46
UTR Rating 15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #64
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 18/35 = 51,4%
Eliot Spizzirri
Ranking #85
UTR Rating 15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #70
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 27/44 = 61,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 43,0000
rank_ratio 1,9348
log_rank_ratio 0,6600
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 398,0000
best_rank_diff 57,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,9351
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,1346
surface_matches_ratio 0,7955
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,4286
surface_wr_p2 61,3636
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,2821
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,4167
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 44,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0286
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,2274
first_serve_won_diff 0,7825
second_serve_won_diff -1,5677
bp_saved_diff 3,1905
bp_converted_diff -2,0821
aces_per_match_diff 0,1532
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -10,2300
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7193
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9677
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7391
serve_consistency_p1 7,1662
serve_consistency_p2 6,1390
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -6,5571
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0287
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1566
elite_surface_amplifier -9,9351
UTR
utr_diff 0,0900
utr_p1 0,8506
utr_p2 0,8400
utr_advantage 0,5927
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22980
API ID 15327202
Gamdom ID 579411
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22980,
    "api_id": 15327202,
    "gamdom_id": 579411,
    "player1": "Nuno Borges",
    "player2": "Eliot Spizzirri",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.72,
      "p2": 2.14
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.74,
      "p2": 2.07
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6423,
    "prob_p2": 0.3577,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6423,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": 15.18,
      "utr_ranking": 64,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.42857142857142,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 85,
      "utr_singles": 15.16,
      "utr_ranking": 70,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.18,
      "ranking": 64,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.16,
      "ranking": 70,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8505882352941176,
    "utr_p2": 0.8400000000000001,
    "utr_diff": 0.08999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 1.934782608695652,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 398,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.190519480519484,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -21.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.42857142857142,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.36363636363637,
    "utr_advantage": 0.5926901547579839,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 57,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6599949732430448,
    "rank_advantage": 43,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7391304347826086,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.935064935064943,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.0821428571428555,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 44,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.2274415584415621,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7192982456140351,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.967741935483871,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.1532467532467532,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.7825324675324765,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.02857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.166234951905929,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.138991954986514,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -6.5570929159861,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.28205128205128,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.416666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.567727272727268,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7954545454545454,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -10.22999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -9.935064935064943,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.028714285714285692,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15663636363636357,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.134615384615387,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}