Diana Shnaider vs Katerina Siniakova
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 08:50
14 Ene 2026, 08:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Katerina Siniakova
Diana …: 33,4%
Katerina …: 66,6%
¿Por qué Katerina Siniakova?
UTR 12,43 vs 12,46
(-0,16)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Diana … | Katerina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,30 | 61,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,63 | 2,35 | 61,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,99 | 1,50 | 33,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Diana …: -25,2%
Katerina …: +25,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Diana Shnaider
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
12,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/31 = 51,6%
Katerina Siniakova
Ranking
#45
UTR Rating
12,46 Pro
UTR Ranking
#26
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
21/33 = 63,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 23,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6931 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 646,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 16,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -12,0235 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -10,7336 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9394 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 63,6364 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,1622 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0323 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,5239 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,0576 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,6909 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,7121 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,2424 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5,7150 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,3858 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8855 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6852 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4375 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,8550 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,8915 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -8,3340 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0069 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1594 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5282 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,2893 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22981
API ID
15328449
Gamdom ID
580618
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22981,
"api_id": 15328449,
"gamdom_id": 580618,
"player1": "Diana Shnaider",
"player2": "Katerina Siniakova",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-14T04:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.63,
"p2": 2.35
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.6,
"p2": 2.3
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3344,
"prob_p2": 0.6656,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6656,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 22,
"utr_singles": 12.43,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 45,
"utr_singles": 12.46,
"utr_ranking": 26,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 29,
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 26,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 2.0,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": 646,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.6909090909090807,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.61290322580645,
"surface_wr_p2": 63.63636363636363,
"utr_advantage": -1.2892828364222413,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 16,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6931471805599453,
"rank_advantage": 23,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -12.023460410557185,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.712121212121211,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.5239393939394006,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8854961832061069,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6851851851851852,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.24242424242424243,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.0575757575757692,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.3857863287983446,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.03225806451612903,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.855036736764484,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.891500802901589,
"surface_rank_synergy": -8.334027684151835,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.42857142857142,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.16216216216216,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.6000000000000014,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9393939393939394,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.715000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.006870967741935519,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15936363636363637,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.733590733590738,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}