Federico Cinà vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 10:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Federico Cinà
Federico …: 66,7% Adolfo …: 33,3%
¿Por qué Federico Cinà?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Federico … Adolfo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 6,00 1,13 16,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,50 3,00 66,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Federico …: +50,9% Adolfo …: -50,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Federico Cinà
Ranking #237
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 9/17 = 52,9%
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Ranking #146
UTR Rating 14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking #108
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -89,0000
rank_ratio 0,6213
log_rank_ratio -0,4760
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -188,0000
best_rank_diff -59,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 27,9412
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,5011
surface_matches_ratio 4,2500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,9412
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,3810
surface_wr_p2_stable 49,1176
p1_surface_matches 17,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0588
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5667
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,4600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,9247
first_serve_won_diff 7,0824
second_serve_won_diff 0,2000
bp_saved_diff 8,7353
bp_converted_diff 12,9176
aces_per_match_diff 1,6618
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -22,5940
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,7288
serve_consistency_p2 8,5730
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -13,2994
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1184
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3390
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8035
utr_p2 0,8035
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22982
API ID 15362356
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22982,
    "api_id": 15362356,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Federico Cin\u00e0",
    "player2": "Adolfo Daniel Vallejo",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T06:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 6.0,
      "p2": 1.125
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.55,
      "p2": 2.36
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6668,
    "prob_p2": 0.3332,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6668,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 237,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 146,
      "utr_singles": 14.78,
      "utr_ranking": 108,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.78,
      "ranking": 108,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8035294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6212765957446809,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": -188,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 8.735294117647072,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.94117647058824,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -59,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.47597889243582253,
    "rank_advantage": -89,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 27.94117647058824,
    "bp_converted_diff": 12.917647058823533,
    "p1_surface_matches": 17,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.924705882352939,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.6617647058823533,
    "combined_confidence": 0.45999999999999996,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.08235294117646,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.058823529411764705,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.728849702489046,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.572964853047708,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -13.299410229824455,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.38095238095239,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 49.11764705882353,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.20000000000000284,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.25,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -22.594,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11841176470588233,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.33899999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.5011204481792744,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}