Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Gea
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 10:50
14 Ene 2026, 10:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Roman …: 61,5%
Arthur …: 38,5%
¿Por qué Roman Andres Burruchaga?
UTR 14,76 vs 14,57
(+0,56)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Roman … | Arthur … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,50 | 1,18 | 22,2% |
| Gamdom | 2,17 | 1,70 | 46,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,63 | 2,60 | 61,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Roman …: +40,7%
Arthur …: -40,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Ranking
#104
UTR Rating
14,76 Pro
UTR Ranking
#119
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42,9%
Arthur Gea
Ranking
#198
UTR Rating
14,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#170
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
5/12 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 94,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,9126 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6485 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 304,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 120,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,1905 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,0218 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5833 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,8323 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,4085 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,2833 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,3417 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -16,5833 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 14,6083 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,7738 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 10,3850 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,2323 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8528 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,7720 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1654 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0107 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7988 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7329 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,8594 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22983
API ID
15362413
Gamdom ID
595388
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22983,
"api_id": 15362413,
"gamdom_id": 595388,
"player1": "Roman Andres Burruchaga",
"player2": "Arthur Gea",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T06:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.5,
"p2": 1.1818181818181819
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.17,
"p2": 1.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.15,
"p2": 1.66
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6149,
"prob_p2": 0.3851,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6149,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 104,
"utr_singles": 14.76,
"utr_ranking": 119,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 198,
"utr_singles": 14.57,
"utr_ranking": 170,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 119,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 170,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7329411764705883,
"utr_diff": 0.5599999999999987,
"rank_ratio": 1.912621359223301,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 304,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -16.583333333333343,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 9.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
"utr_advantage": 3.8594073053066764,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 120,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6484747405083527,
"rank_advantage": 94,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.1904761904761827,
"bp_converted_diff": 14.608333333333338,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.408452380952376,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.7738095238095237,
"combined_confidence": 0.42666666666666664,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.2833333333333456,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.232327943155463,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.852777889622306,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.7719937387004149,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.83226632522407,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.3416666666666757,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5833333333333334,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 10.385000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.16542857142857142,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.010666666666666713,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.021766965428936,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}