Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Gea
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 10:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Roman …: 61,5% Arthur …: 38,5%
¿Por qué Roman Andres Burruchaga?
UTR 14,76 vs 14,57 (+0,56) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Roman … Arthur … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,50 1,18 22,2%
Gamdom 2,17 1,70 46,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,63 2,60 61,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Roman …: +40,7% Arthur …: -40,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Ranking #104
UTR Rating 14,76 Pro
UTR Ranking #119
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 3/7 = 42,9%
Arthur Gea
Ranking #198
UTR Rating 14,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #170
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 5/12 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 94,0000
rank_ratio 1,9126
log_rank_ratio 0,6485
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 304,0000
best_rank_diff 120,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,1905
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,0218
surface_matches_ratio 0,5833
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 41,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,8323
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,4267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,4085
first_serve_won_diff -2,2833
second_serve_won_diff 3,3417
bp_saved_diff -16,5833
bp_converted_diff 14,6083
aces_per_match_diff 0,7738
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 10,3850
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,2323
serve_consistency_p2 6,8528
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,7720
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1654
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0107
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,5600
utr_p1 0,7988
utr_p2 0,7329
utr_advantage 3,8594
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22983
API ID 15362413
Gamdom ID 595388
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22983,
    "api_id": 15362413,
    "gamdom_id": 595388,
    "player1": "Roman Andres Burruchaga",
    "player2": "Arthur Gea",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T06:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.5,
      "p2": 1.1818181818181819
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.17,
      "p2": 1.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.15,
      "p2": 1.66
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6149,
    "prob_p2": 0.3851,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6149,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 104,
      "utr_singles": 14.76,
      "utr_ranking": 119,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 198,
      "utr_singles": 14.57,
      "utr_ranking": 170,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.76,
      "ranking": 119,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.57,
      "ranking": 170,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7988235294117646,
    "utr_p2": 0.7329411764705883,
    "utr_diff": 0.5599999999999987,
    "rank_ratio": 1.912621359223301,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 304,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -16.583333333333343,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 9.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
    "utr_advantage": 3.8594073053066764,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 120,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6484747405083527,
    "rank_advantage": 94,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.1904761904761827,
    "bp_converted_diff": 14.608333333333338,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.408452380952376,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.7738095238095237,
    "combined_confidence": 0.42666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.2833333333333456,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.232327943155463,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.852777889622306,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.7719937387004149,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.83226632522407,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.3416666666666757,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5833333333333334,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 10.385000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.16542857142857142,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.010666666666666713,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.021766965428936,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}