Vitaliy Sachko vs Liam Draxl
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 11:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Liam Draxl
Vitaliy …: 39,9% Liam …: 60,1%
¿Por qué Liam Draxl?
UTR 14,19 vs 14,24 (-0,13) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Vitaliy … Liam … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,25 1,57 44,4%
Gamdom 2,47 1,55 40,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,51 1,66 39,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Vitaliy …: -1,2% Liam …: +1,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Vitaliy Sachko
Ranking #166
UTR Rating 14,19 Pro
UTR Ranking #288
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/26 = 53,8%
Liam Draxl
Ranking #145
UTR Rating 14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #263
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 35/56 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -21,0000
rank_ratio 0,8735
log_rank_ratio -0,1353
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -80,0000
best_rank_diff -43,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -8,6538
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7,7778
surface_matches_ratio 0,4643
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,8462
surface_wr_p2 62,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,6667
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 56,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0769
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,1480
first_serve_won_diff -0,5293
second_serve_won_diff -2,9810
bp_saved_diff 0,8636
bp_converted_diff -5,5243
aces_per_match_diff 0,0055
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 48,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,5200
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7647
serve_consistency_p1 5,6439
serve_consistency_p2 4,0707
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,1705
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0595
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1040
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1300
utr_p1 0,7294
utr_p2 0,7447
utr_advantage -0,9113
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22984
API ID 15362230
Gamdom ID 595244
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22984,
    "api_id": 15362230,
    "gamdom_id": 595244,
    "player1": "Vitaliy Sachko",
    "player2": "Liam Draxl",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T07:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.5714285714285714
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.47,
      "p2": 1.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.39,
      "p2": 1.54
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3989,
    "prob_p2": 0.6011,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6011,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 166,
      "utr_singles": 14.19,
      "utr_ranking": 288,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 145,
      "utr_singles": 14.24,
      "utr_ranking": 263,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 56,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.19,
      "ranking": 288,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.24,
      "ranking": 263,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7294117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.7447058823529412,
    "utr_diff": -0.13000000000000078,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8734939759036144,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -80,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.8635989010989036,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 1.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
    "utr_advantage": -0.9113214160532827,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -43,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.13525404593596885,
    "rank_advantage": -21,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7647058823529411,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -8.653846153846153,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.524313186813181,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 56,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.1479532967032995,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.005494505494505475,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.5292582417582423,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.643933572482933,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.07070752159365,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.170467705215115,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.66666666666667,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.981043956043962,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.4642857142857143,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.519999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.059461538461538455,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10399999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.77777777777778,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}