Vitaliy Sachko vs Liam Draxl
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 11:15
14 Ene 2026, 11:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Liam Draxl
Vitaliy …: 39,9%
Liam …: 60,1%
¿Por qué Liam Draxl?
UTR 14,19 vs 14,24
(-0,13)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Vitaliy … | Liam … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,25 | 1,57 | 44,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,47 | 1,55 | 40,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,51 | 1,66 | 39,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Vitaliy …: -1,2%
Liam …: +1,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Vitaliy Sachko
Ranking
#166
UTR Rating
14,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#288
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
14/26 = 53,8%
Liam Draxl
Ranking
#145
UTR Rating
14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#263
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
35/56 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -21,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8735 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1353 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -80,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -43,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,6538 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,7778 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4643 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 56,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0769 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,1480 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,5293 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,9810 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,8636 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,5243 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0055 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,5200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7647 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,6439 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,0707 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,1705 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0595 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1040 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7447 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,9113 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22984
API ID
15362230
Gamdom ID
595244
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22984,
"api_id": 15362230,
"gamdom_id": 595244,
"player1": "Vitaliy Sachko",
"player2": "Liam Draxl",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T07:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.5714285714285714
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.47,
"p2": 1.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.39,
"p2": 1.54
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3989,
"prob_p2": 0.6011,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6011,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 166,
"utr_singles": 14.19,
"utr_ranking": 288,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 145,
"utr_singles": 14.24,
"utr_ranking": 263,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 56,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.19,
"ranking": 288,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.24,
"ranking": 263,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7294117647058823,
"utr_p2": 0.7447058823529412,
"utr_diff": -0.13000000000000078,
"rank_ratio": 0.8734939759036144,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -80,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.8635989010989036,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 1.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
"utr_advantage": -0.9113214160532827,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -43,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.13525404593596885,
"rank_advantage": -21,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7647058823529411,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.653846153846153,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.524313186813181,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 56,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.1479532967032995,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.005494505494505475,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.5292582417582423,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.643933572482933,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.07070752159365,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.170467705215115,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.66666666666667,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.981043956043962,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.4642857142857143,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.519999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.059461538461538455,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10399999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.77777777777778,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}