Elena Pridankina vs Lilli Tagger
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lilli Tagger
Elena …: 37,2% Lilli …: 62,8%
¿Por qué Lilli Tagger?
UTR 11,57 vs 11,89 (-0,30) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Elena … Lilli … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 1,95 55,6%
Gamdom 2,31 1,65 43,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,69 1,59 37,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Elena …: -14,8% Lilli …: +14,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elena Pridankina
Ranking #190
UTR Rating 11,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #225
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 7/15 = 46,7%
Lilli Tagger
Ranking #155
UTR Rating 11,89 Junior
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 4/7 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -35,0000
rank_ratio 0,8148
log_rank_ratio -0,2048
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -87,0000
best_rank_diff -16,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -10,4762
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,5538
surface_matches_ratio 2,1429
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,6667
surface_wr_p2 57,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,3684
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,3247
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 7,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 0,3933
combined_confidence 0,4467
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,6424
first_serve_won_diff 0,9000
second_serve_won_diff 6,2000
bp_saved_diff -10,2000
bp_converted_diff -6,7000
aces_per_match_diff -1,4762
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,7700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,3612
serve_consistency_p2 4,7942
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,1455
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0017
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0364
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3000
utr_p1 0,4235
utr_p2 0,4588
utr_advantage -2,5532
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22985
API ID 15362646
Gamdom ID 595497
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22985,
    "api_id": 15362646,
    "gamdom_id": 595497,
    "player1": "Elena Pridankina",
    "player2": "Lilli Tagger",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T07:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 1.95
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.31,
      "p2": 1.65
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.24,
      "p2": 1.61
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3716,
    "prob_p2": 0.6284,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6284,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 190,
      "utr_singles": 11.57,
      "utr_ranking": 225,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 155,
      "utr_singles": 11.89,
      "utr_ranking": 2,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.57,
      "ranking": 225,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.89,
      "ranking": 2,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4235294117647058,
    "utr_p2": 0.45882352941176474,
    "utr_diff": -0.3000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8148148148148148,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": -87,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -10.200000000000003,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
    "utr_advantage": -2.553191489361708,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -16,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.20479441264601328,
    "rank_advantage": -35,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -10.476190476190474,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.700000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 7,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.6423809523809467,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.476190476190476,
    "combined_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.8999999999999986,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.361161733567618,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.794202848713171,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.1454652753391863,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.368421052631575,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.32467532467532,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.200000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.142857142857143,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.769999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0016666666666666496,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.036428571428571366,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.5537935748462055,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}