Elena Pridankina vs Lilli Tagger
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 11:05
14 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lilli Tagger
Elena …: 37,2%
Lilli …: 62,8%
¿Por qué Lilli Tagger?
UTR 11,57 vs 11,89
(-0,30)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elena … | Lilli … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 1,95 | 55,6% |
| Gamdom | 2,31 | 1,65 | 43,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,69 | 1,59 | 37,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Elena …: -14,8%
Lilli …: +14,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elena Pridankina
Ranking
#190
UTR Rating
11,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#225
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
7/15 = 46,7%
Lilli Tagger
Ranking
#155
UTR Rating
11,89 Junior
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
4/7 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -35,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8148 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2048 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -87,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -16,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,4762 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,5538 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,1429 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,3684 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,3247 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,6424 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -10,2000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,4762 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,7700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3612 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,7942 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,1455 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0017 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0364 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4235 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,5532 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22985
API ID
15362646
Gamdom ID
595497
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22985,
"api_id": 15362646,
"gamdom_id": 595497,
"player1": "Elena Pridankina",
"player2": "Lilli Tagger",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T07:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 1.95
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.31,
"p2": 1.65
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.24,
"p2": 1.61
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3716,
"prob_p2": 0.6284,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6284,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 190,
"utr_singles": 11.57,
"utr_ranking": 225,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 155,
"utr_singles": 11.89,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 225,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.89,
"ranking": 2,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_diff": -0.3000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 0.8148148148148148,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": -87,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -10.200000000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.5,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_advantage": -2.553191489361708,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -16,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.20479441264601328,
"rank_advantage": -35,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.476190476190474,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.700000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 15,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.6423809523809467,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.476190476190476,
"combined_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.8999999999999986,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.361161733567618,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.794202848713171,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.1454652753391863,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.368421052631575,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.32467532467532,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.200000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.142857142857143,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.769999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0016666666666666496,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.036428571428571366,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.5537935748462055,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}