Harriet Dart vs Lanlana Tararudee
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 10:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Harriet Dart
Harriet …: 51,4% Lanlana …: 48,6%
¿Por qué Harriet Dart?
UTR 11,73 vs 11,89 (-0,08) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Harriet … Lanlana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,33 1,20 23,1%
Gamdom 2,60 1,52 38,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,94 2,06 51,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Harriet …: +29,8% Lanlana …: -29,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Harriet Dart
Ranking #170
UTR Rating 11,73 Pro
UTR Ranking #175
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 8/17 = 47,1%
Lanlana Tararudee
Ranking #131
UTR Rating 11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #132
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 4/10 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -38,0000
rank_ratio 0,7751
log_rank_ratio -0,2547
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -139,0000
best_rank_diff 61,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 7,0588
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,3810
surface_matches_ratio 1,7000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 47,0588
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,6190
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,8571
p1_surface_matches 17,0000
p2_surface_matches 10,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0588
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5667
p2_confidence 0,4333
combined_confidence 0,5000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -9,6406
first_serve_won_diff -5,1000
second_serve_won_diff -5,4000
bp_saved_diff 5,5000
bp_converted_diff 14,1000
aces_per_match_diff -2,7353
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 7,3000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5116
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 11,3797
serve_consistency_p2 6,9953
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,7979
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0086
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1380
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0800
utr_p1 0,4353
utr_p2 0,4447
utr_advantage -0,6814
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22986
API ID 15362358
Gamdom ID 595363
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22986,
    "api_id": 15362358,
    "gamdom_id": 595363,
    "player1": "Harriet Dart",
    "player2": "Lanlana Tararudee",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T06:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.333333333333334,
      "p2": 1.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.6,
      "p2": 1.52
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.54,
      "p2": 1.49
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5145,
    "prob_p2": 0.4855,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5145,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 170,
      "utr_singles": 11.73,
      "utr_ranking": 175,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 131,
      "utr_singles": 11.89,
      "utr_ranking": 132,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 175,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.89,
      "ranking": 132,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4447058823529411,
    "utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7751479289940828,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": -139,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "surface_wr_p1": 47.05882352941176,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.6814310051107333,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 61,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.25470139172192197,
    "rank_advantage": -38,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 7.058823529411761,
    "bp_converted_diff": 14.100000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 17,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "serve_quality_diff": -9.640588235294118,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5116279069767442,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.735294117647059,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.099999999999994,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.058823529411764705,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.379671233560885,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.995315499677516,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.7978921768606246,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.61904761904761,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.399999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.7,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 7.299999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.008588235294117619,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.138,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.3809523809523796,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}