Harriet Dart vs Lanlana Tararudee
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 10:25
14 Ene 2026, 10:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Harriet Dart
Harriet …: 51,4%
Lanlana …: 48,6%
¿Por qué Harriet Dart?
UTR 11,73 vs 11,89
(-0,08)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Harriet … | Lanlana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,33 | 1,20 | 23,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,60 | 1,52 | 38,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,94 | 2,06 | 51,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Harriet …: +29,8%
Lanlana …: -29,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Harriet Dart
Ranking
#170
UTR Rating
11,73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#175
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
8/17 = 47,1%
Lanlana Tararudee
Ranking
#131
UTR Rating
11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#132
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
4/10 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -38,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7751 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2547 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -139,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 61,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,0588 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,3810 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,7000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47,0588 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,6190 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,8571 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0588 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,6406 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,5000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 14,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,7353 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,3000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5116 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,3797 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,9953 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,7979 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0086 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1380 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4353 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4447 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,6814 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22986
API ID
15362358
Gamdom ID
595363
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22986,
"api_id": 15362358,
"gamdom_id": 595363,
"player1": "Harriet Dart",
"player2": "Lanlana Tararudee",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T06:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.333333333333334,
"p2": 1.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.6,
"p2": 1.52
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.54,
"p2": 1.49
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5145,
"prob_p2": 0.4855,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5145,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 170,
"utr_singles": 11.73,
"utr_ranking": 175,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 131,
"utr_singles": 11.89,
"utr_ranking": 132,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.73,
"ranking": 175,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.89,
"ranking": 132,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4447058823529411,
"utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 0.7751479289940828,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": -139,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"surface_wr_p1": 47.05882352941176,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": -0.6814310051107333,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 61,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.25470139172192197,
"rank_advantage": -38,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.058823529411761,
"bp_converted_diff": 14.100000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.640588235294118,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5116279069767442,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.735294117647059,
"combined_confidence": 0.5,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.099999999999994,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.058823529411764705,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.379671233560885,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.995315499677516,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.7978921768606246,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.61904761904761,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.399999999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.7,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.299999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.008588235294117619,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.138,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.3809523809523796,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}