Marina Bassols Ribera vs Iryna Shymanovich
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 10:40
14 Ene 2026, 10:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iryna Shymanovich
Marina …: 23,0%
Iryna …: 77,0%
¿Por qué Iryna Shymanovich?
UTR 11,63 vs 11,51
(-0,08)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marina … | Iryna … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,72 | 2,18 | 58,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,35 | 1,30 | 23,0% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marina Bassols Ribera
Ranking
#238
UTR Rating
11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#205
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0,0%
Iryna Shymanovich
Ranking
#154
UTR Rating
11,51 Pro
UTR Ranking
#257
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
2/7 = 28,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -83,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6483 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4334 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -159,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 45,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,9821 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2857 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 29,5238 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 37,8075 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,1329 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,4500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,4500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -30,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,0714 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 13,5060 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,9829 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,4019 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 12,3827 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4170 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2973 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4141 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4235 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,6920 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22987
API ID
15362357
Gamdom ID
595369
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22987,
"api_id": 15362357,
"gamdom_id": 595369,
"player1": "Marina Bassols Ribera",
"player2": "Iryna Shymanovich",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T06:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.72,
"p2": 2.18
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.71,
"p2": 2.08
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2297,
"prob_p2": 0.7703,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7703,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 238,
"utr_singles": 11.63,
"utr_ranking": 205,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 154,
"utr_singles": 11.51,
"utr_ranking": 257,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 205,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 257,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4235294117647058,
"utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 0.6483050847457628,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -159,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -30.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 18.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 28.57142857142857,
"utr_advantage": -0.6920415224913502,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 45,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.43339388363317455,
"rank_advantage": -83,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -28.57142857142857,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.600000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.132857142857141,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.0714285714285714,
"combined_confidence": 0.36,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.450000000000003,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.9829239123602007,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.401934360884185,
"surface_rank_synergy": 12.382682389519273,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 29.523809523809526,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.80748663101605,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.450000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.2857142857142857,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 13.506,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.41700000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.29728571428571426,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.982123758594348,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}