Marina Bassols Ribera vs Iryna Shymanovich
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 10:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iryna Shymanovich
Marina …: 23,0% Iryna …: 77,0%
¿Por qué Iryna Shymanovich?
UTR 11,63 vs 11,51 (-0,08) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Marina … Iryna … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,72 2,18 58,1%
IA Fair Odds 4,35 1,30 23,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marina Bassols Ribera
Ranking #238
UTR Rating 11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #205
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 0/2 = 0,0%
Iryna Shymanovich
Ranking #154
UTR Rating 11,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #257
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 2/7 = 28,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -83,0000
rank_ratio 0,6483
log_rank_ratio -0,4334
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -159,0000
best_rank_diff 45,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -28,5714
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,9821
surface_matches_ratio 0,2857
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 28,5714
surface_wr_p1_stable 29,5238
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,8075
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 7,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,3933
combined_confidence 0,3600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,1329
first_serve_won_diff -7,4500
second_serve_won_diff 2,4500
bp_saved_diff -30,0000
bp_converted_diff -9,6000
aces_per_match_diff -1,0714
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 13,5060
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 3,9829
serve_consistency_p2 6,4019
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 12,3827
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4170
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2973
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0800
utr_p1 0,4141
utr_p2 0,4235
utr_advantage -0,6920
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22987
API ID 15362357
Gamdom ID 595369
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22987,
    "api_id": 15362357,
    "gamdom_id": 595369,
    "player1": "Marina Bassols Ribera",
    "player2": "Iryna Shymanovich",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T06:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.72,
      "p2": 2.18
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.71,
      "p2": 2.08
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2297,
    "prob_p2": 0.7703,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7703,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 238,
      "utr_singles": 11.63,
      "utr_ranking": 205,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 154,
      "utr_singles": 11.51,
      "utr_ranking": 257,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.63,
      "ranking": 205,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.51,
      "ranking": 257,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4141176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.4235294117647058,
    "utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6483050847457628,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -159,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -30.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 28.57142857142857,
    "utr_advantage": -0.6920415224913502,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 45,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.43339388363317455,
    "rank_advantage": -83,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -28.57142857142857,
    "bp_converted_diff": -9.600000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 7,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.132857142857141,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.0714285714285714,
    "combined_confidence": 0.36,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.450000000000003,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.9829239123602007,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.401934360884185,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 12.382682389519273,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 29.523809523809526,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.80748663101605,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.450000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.2857142857142857,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 13.506,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.41700000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.29728571428571426,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.982123758594348,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}