Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Daniel Dutra Da Silva
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 17:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Nikolas …: 53,2% Daniel …: 46,8%
¿Por qué Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo?
UTR 14,11 vs 13,90 (+0,21) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nikolas … Daniel … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,10 59,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,88 2,14 53,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Nikolas …: -2,5% Daniel …: +2,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Ranking #306
UTR Rating 14,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #329
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 38% (8p)
WR Clay 16/32 = 50,0%
Daniel Dutra Da Silva
Ranking #344
UTR Rating 13,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #432
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 20/39 = 51,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 34,0000
rank_ratio 1,1115
log_rank_ratio 0,1057
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 23,0000
best_rank_diff -31,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,2821
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,1628
surface_matches_ratio 0,8205
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 51,2821
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,1628
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 39,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,4962
first_serve_won_diff -2,5000
second_serve_won_diff 2,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,1000
bp_converted_diff 5,6000
aces_per_match_diff -1,9231
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -22,3650
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 11,2860
serve_consistency_p2 7,5790
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,1355
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0340
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0468
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2100
utr_p1 0,7165
utr_p2 0,6918
utr_advantage 1,5016
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22988
API ID 15327993
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22988,
    "api_id": 15327993,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo",
    "player2": "Daniel Dutra Da Silva",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T13:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.6,
      "p2": 2.25
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5318,
    "prob_p2": 0.4682,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5318,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 306,
      "utr_singles": 14.11,
      "utr_ranking": 329,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 37.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 344,
      "utr_singles": 13.9,
      "utr_ranking": 432,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.28205128205128,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.11,
      "ranking": 329,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.9,
      "ranking": 432,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7164705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.6917647058823531,
    "utr_diff": 0.20999999999999908,
    "rank_ratio": 1.1114754098360655,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 23,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.10000000000000142,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.28205128205128,
    "utr_advantage": 1.5016088666428251,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -31,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.10568833077303859,
    "rank_advantage": 34,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.2820512820512775,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.600000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 39,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.496153846153852,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.923076923076923,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.285974620762525,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.5789923163127995,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.13549785996543362,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.162790697674424,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8205128205128205,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -22.365000000000016,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03400000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.046820512820512805,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.1627906976744242,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}