Franco Agamenone vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 18:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
Franco …: 45,4% Matheus …: 54,6%
¿Por qué Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida?
UTR 14,08 vs 14,24 (-0,26) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Franco … Matheus … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,53 42,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,20 1,83 45,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Franco …: +6,2% Matheus …: -6,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Franco Agamenone
Ranking #279
UTR Rating 14,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #345
Forma L5 25% (4p)
Forma L10 25% (4p)
WR Clay 14/27 = 51,9%
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
Ranking #297
UTR Rating 14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #269
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 57% (7p)
WR Clay 23/40 = 57,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -38,0000
rank_ratio 0,8866
log_rank_ratio -0,1204
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -27,0000
best_rank_diff 82,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -5,6481
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,9450
surface_matches_ratio 0,6750
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,8519
surface_wr_p2 57,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,6129
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,8182
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 40,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0370
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,2533
first_serve_won_diff 0,8000
second_serve_won_diff -1,1000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff -11,8000
aces_per_match_diff 1,0917
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,3500
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,8163
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -9,1837
weighted_momentum_diff -8,6728
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1429
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4167
serve_consistency_p1 10,8058
serve_consistency_p2 4,3036
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,6800
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0565
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0370
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2600
utr_p1 0,7047
utr_p2 0,7353
utr_advantage -1,8414
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22991
API ID 15327998
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22991,
    "api_id": 15327998,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Franco Agamenone",
    "player2": "Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T14:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.38,
      "p2": 1.53
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.4,
      "p2": 1.52
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4537,
    "prob_p2": 0.5463,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5463,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 279,
      "utr_singles": 14.08,
      "utr_ranking": 345,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 297,
      "utr_singles": 14.24,
      "utr_ranking": 269,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.49999999999999,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.08,
      "ranking": 345,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.24,
      "ranking": 269,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7047058823529412,
    "utr_p2": 0.7352941176470589,
    "utr_diff": -0.2599999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8865671641791045,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.816326530612244,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -27,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.35,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -9.183673469387756,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.85185185185185,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.49999999999999,
    "utr_advantage": -1.8413597733711033,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 82,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.12039839302236675,
    "rank_advantage": -38,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.14285714285714285,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4166666666666667,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -5.648148148148145,
    "bp_converted_diff": -11.799999999999997,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 40,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.2533333333333374,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.0916666666666663,
    "combined_confidence": 0.95,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.7999999999999972,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.037037037037037035,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.805800854132032,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.303648318261097,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.6800279605892934,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.61290322580645,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.81818181818182,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.1000000000000014,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.675,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -8.67275510204081,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.056518518518518523,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03699999999999992,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.945014662756603,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}