Franco Agamenone vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 18:45
14 Ene 2026, 18:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
Franco …: 45,4%
Matheus …: 54,6%
¿Por qué Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida?
UTR 14,08 vs 14,24
(-0,26)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Franco … | Matheus … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,53 | 42,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,20 | 1,83 | 45,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Franco …: +6,2%
Matheus …: -6,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Franco Agamenone
Ranking
#279
UTR Rating
14,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#345
Forma L5
25% (4p)
Forma L10
25% (4p)
WR Clay
14/27 = 51,9%
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
Ranking
#297
UTR Rating
14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#269
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
57% (7p)
WR Clay
23/40 = 57,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -38,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8866 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1204 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -27,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 82,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,6481 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,9450 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6750 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,8519 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,8182 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0370 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,2533 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,8000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -11,8000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,0917 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,3500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,8163 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -9,1837 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8,6728 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4167 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,8058 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,3036 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,6800 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0565 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0370 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7047 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7353 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,8414 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22991
API ID
15327998
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22991,
"api_id": 15327998,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Franco Agamenone",
"player2": "Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-14T14:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.38,
"p2": 1.53
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.4,
"p2": 1.52
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4537,
"prob_p2": 0.5463,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5463,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 279,
"utr_singles": 14.08,
"utr_ranking": 345,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 25.0,
"form_l10_wr": 25.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 297,
"utr_singles": 14.24,
"utr_ranking": 269,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.49999999999999,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 345,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.24,
"ranking": 269,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7352941176470589,
"utr_diff": -0.2599999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 0.8865671641791045,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.816326530612244,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -27,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.35,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -9.183673469387756,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.85185185185185,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.49999999999999,
"utr_advantage": -1.8413597733711033,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 82,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.12039839302236675,
"rank_advantage": -38,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.14285714285714285,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4166666666666667,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.648148148148145,
"bp_converted_diff": -11.799999999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 40,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.2533333333333374,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0916666666666663,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.7999999999999972,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.037037037037037035,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.805800854132032,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.303648318261097,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.6800279605892934,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.61290322580645,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.81818181818182,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.1000000000000014,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.675,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.67275510204081,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.056518518518518523,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03699999999999992,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.945014662756603,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}