Lucio Ratti vs Andrea Collarini
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 17:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrea Collarini
Lucio …: 21,3% Andrea …: 78,7%
¿Por qué Andrea Collarini?
UTR 13,53 vs 14,26 (-0,72) — Niveles similares
Lucio …
W56-L29
66% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Andrea …
Sin datos
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lucio … Andrea … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,50 1,28 28,6%
IA Fair Odds 4,69 1,27 21,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Lucio …: -5,4% Andrea …: +5,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lucio Ratti
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #670
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (5p)
WR Clay 4/10 = 40,0%
Andrea Collarini
Ranking #233
UTR Rating 14,26 Pro
UTR Ranking #253
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 32/56 = 57,1%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Lucio Ratti
Record 2025 56W - 29L (66%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,9
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Andrea Collarini
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -260,0000
rank_ratio 0,4800
log_rank_ratio -0,7340
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -228,0000
best_rank_diff -323,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -17,1429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,8968
surface_matches_ratio 0,1786
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 40,0000
surface_wr_p2 57,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,8571
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,6667
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 56,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,7514
first_serve_won_diff -4,4000
second_serve_won_diff -9,6000
bp_saved_diff -3,7000
bp_converted_diff -1,4000
aces_per_match_diff -0,3357
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff 22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 14,9850
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5263
serve_consistency_p1 11,0314
serve_consistency_p2 6,7194
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 12,5823
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1600
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1886
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,7200
utr_p1 0,6447
utr_p2 0,7294
utr_advantage -5,2023
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22992
API ID 15328002
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22992,
    "api_id": 15328002,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Lucio Ratti",
    "player2": "Andrea Collarini",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T13:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.5,
      "p2": 1.28
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.52,
      "p2": 1.28
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2133,
    "prob_p2": 0.7867,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7867,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.53,
      "utr_ranking": 670,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 56,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 65.88235294117646,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.86,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.77,
          "opponent_name": "Juan Manuel La Serna"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 14.39,
          "opponent_name": "Hady Habib"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "bautista de la Pena"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.83,
          "opponent_name": "Adolfo Daniel Vallejo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.27,
          "opponent_name": "Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:27.088757+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 233,
      "utr_singles": 14.26,
      "utr_ranking": 253,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 32,
      "wr_surface_total": 56,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.53,
      "ranking": 670,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.26,
      "ranking": 253,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6447058823529412,
    "utr_p2": 0.7294117647058823,
    "utr_diff": -0.7199999999999989,
    "rank_ratio": 0.48,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": -228,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.700000000000003,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 21.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
    "utr_advantage": -5.202312138728315,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -323,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.7339691750802004,
    "rank_advantage": -260,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -17.14285714285714,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.3999999999999986,
    "p1_surface_matches": 10,
    "p2_surface_matches": 56,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.751428571428569,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.33571428571428585,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.399999999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.031443192127782,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.71936584213742,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 12.582328715660577,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.666666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -9.600000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.17857142857142858,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 14.984999999999985,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16000000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1885714285714286,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.896825396825397,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}