Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 18:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Santiago …: 67,8% Juan …: 32,2%
¿Por qué Santiago Rodriguez Taverna?
UTR 13,94 vs 13,79 (+0,21) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Santiago … Juan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,47 3,11 67,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Santiago …: +3,2% Juan …: -3,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Ranking #227
UTR Rating 13,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #412
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 22/44 = 50,0%
Juan Manuel La Serna
Ranking #412
UTR Rating 13,79 Pro
UTR Ranking #500
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 57% (7p)
WR Clay 8/17 = 47,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 206,0000
rank_ratio 1,9075
log_rank_ratio 0,6458
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 143,0000
best_rank_diff 271,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,9412
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,8651
surface_matches_ratio 2,5882
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 47,0588
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,6190
p1_surface_matches 44,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,7833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,6760
first_serve_won_diff 5,2000
second_serve_won_diff 1,1000
bp_saved_diff 4,7000
bp_converted_diff -4,0000
aces_per_match_diff 2,3730
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -15,0150
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 4,6703
serve_consistency_p2 8,9044
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,8994
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2060
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1766
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2100
utr_p1 0,7035
utr_p2 0,6788
utr_advantage 1,5135
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22994
API ID 15327992
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22994,
    "api_id": 15327992,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Santiago Rodriguez Taverna",
    "player2": "Juan Manuel La Serna",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T14:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.63
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.59,
      "p2": 2.27
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6783,
    "prob_p2": 0.3217,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6783,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 227,
      "utr_singles": 13.94,
      "utr_ranking": 412,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 412,
      "utr_singles": 13.79,
      "utr_ranking": 500,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.94,
      "ranking": 412,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.79,
      "ranking": 500,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.703529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.6788235294117646,
    "utr_diff": 0.21000000000000085,
    "rank_ratio": 1.907488986784141,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": 143,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.699999999999996,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -22.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 47.05882352941176,
    "utr_advantage": 1.5135135135135198,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 271,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6457877105210872,
    "rank_advantage": 206,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.941176470588239,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 44,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.675989304812823,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.372994652406417,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.200000000000003,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.670273709053475,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.904442415396606,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.8993756191796707,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.61904761904761,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.0999999999999943,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.588235294117647,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -15.015,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.20599999999999996,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17658823529411755,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.8650793650793696,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}