Murkel Dellien vs Maximo Zeitune
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 21:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Murkel Dellien
Murkel …: 57,4% Maximo …: 42,6%
¿Por qué Murkel Dellien?
UTR 13,97 vs 13,43 (+0,57) — Niveles similares
Murkel …
Sin datos
Maximo …
W34-L21
62% WR
vs UTR 12,7
W2
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Murkel … Maximo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 3,75 80,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,74 2,35 57,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Murkel …: -17,6% Maximo …: +17,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Murkel Dellien
Ranking #243
UTR Rating 13,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #397
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Clay 20/45 = 44,4%
Maximo Zeitune
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #747
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Clay 3/6 = 50,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Murkel Dellien
Sin datos UTR v4
Maximo Zeitune
Record 2025 34W - 21L (62%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 12,7
Últimos 5:
W W L L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 249,0000
rank_ratio 1,9920
log_rank_ratio 0,6892
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 218,0000
best_rank_diff 332,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -5,5556
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,5204
surface_matches_ratio 7,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 44,4444
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,8980
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 45,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,6900
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,1067
first_serve_won_diff -7,0000
second_serve_won_diff 6,2000
bp_saved_diff -2,6000
bp_converted_diff -11,8000
aces_per_match_diff -1,2333
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 57,1429
momentum_diff 2,8571
weighted_momentum_diff 2,1429
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1429
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,4869
serve_consistency_p2 3,1281
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,8286
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3046
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2490
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,5700
utr_p1 0,7047
utr_p2 0,6376
utr_advantage 4,1591
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22995
API ID 15327999
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22995,
    "api_id": 15327999,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Murkel Dellien",
    "player2": "Maximo Zeitune",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T17:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.26,
      "p2": 3.62
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5736,
    "prob_p2": 0.4264,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5736,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 243,
      "utr_singles": 13.97,
      "utr_ranking": 397,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 45,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.43,
      "utr_ranking": 747,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 34,
      "utr_v4_losses": 21,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.81818181818181,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.73,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.09,
          "opponent_name": "Federico Aguilar Cardozo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.19,
          "opponent_name": "Andrea Collarini"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.2,
          "opponent_name": "Jose Pereira"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:45.374989+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.97,
      "ranking": 397,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.43,
      "ranking": 747,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7047058823529412,
    "utr_p2": 0.6376470588235295,
    "utr_diff": 0.5700000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 1.9920318725099602,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
    "points_diff": 218,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.599999999999987,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 2.857142857142854,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 44.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 4.159066034294055,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 332,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6891551592904078,
    "rank_advantage": 249,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.14285714285714285,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -5.555555555555557,
    "bp_converted_diff": -11.799999999999997,
    "p1_surface_matches": 45,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.106666666666662,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.2333333333333334,
    "combined_confidence": 0.69,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.486912256126296,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.1281365005018458,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.8286397738356,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.89795918367347,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.20000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 7.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.142857142857139,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.3045555555555556,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.249,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.5204081632653046,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}