Murkel Dellien vs Maximo Zeitune
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 21:15
14 Ene 2026, 21:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Murkel Dellien
Murkel …: 57,4%
Maximo …: 42,6%
¿Por qué Murkel Dellien?
UTR 13,97 vs 13,43
(+0,57)
— Niveles similares
Murkel …
Sin datos
Maximo …
W34-L21
62% WR
vs UTR 12,7
W2
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Murkel … | Maximo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 3,75 | 80,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,74 | 2,35 | 57,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Murkel …: -17,6%
Maximo …: +17,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Murkel Dellien
Ranking
#243
UTR Rating
13,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#397
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Clay
20/45 = 44,4%
Maximo Zeitune
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#747
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Clay
3/6 = 50,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Murkel Dellien
Sin datos UTR v4
Maximo Zeitune
Record 2025
34W - 21L (62%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
12,7
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 249,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,9920 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6892 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 218,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 332,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,5556 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,5204 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 7,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,8980 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 45,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6900 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,1067 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -11,8000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,2333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,8571 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,1429 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,4869 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,1281 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,8286 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3046 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2490 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7047 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6376 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,1591 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22995
API ID
15327999
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22995,
"api_id": 15327999,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Murkel Dellien",
"player2": "Maximo Zeitune",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-14T17:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.26,
"p2": 3.62
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5736,
"prob_p2": 0.4264,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5736,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 243,
"utr_singles": 13.97,
"utr_ranking": 397,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.43,
"utr_ranking": 747,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 34,
"utr_v4_losses": 21,
"utr_v4_wr": 61.81818181818181,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.73,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.09,
"opponent_name": "Federico Aguilar Cardozo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.19,
"opponent_name": "Andrea Collarini"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.2,
"opponent_name": "Jose Pereira"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:45.374989+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.97,
"ranking": 397,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.43,
"ranking": 747,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7047058823529412,
"utr_p2": 0.6376470588235295,
"utr_diff": 0.5700000000000003,
"rank_ratio": 1.9920318725099602,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
"points_diff": 218,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.599999999999987,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 2.857142857142854,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 44.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 4.159066034294055,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 332,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6891551592904078,
"rank_advantage": 249,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.14285714285714285,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.555555555555557,
"bp_converted_diff": -11.799999999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 45,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.106666666666662,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.2333333333333334,
"combined_confidence": 0.69,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.486912256126296,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.1281365005018458,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.8286397738356,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.89795918367347,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.20000000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 7.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.142857142857139,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.3045555555555556,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.249,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.5204081632653046,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}