Daria Budko vs Lauren Nolan
UTR PTT Stillwater Women 01 | Hard | Semifinals
14 Ene 2026, 19:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Daria Budko
Daria …: 50,5% Lauren …: 49,5%
¿Por qué Daria Budko?
UTR 8,00 vs 9,00 — Niveles similares
Daria …
W45-L27
62% WR
vs UTR 8,0
L1
Lauren …
W67-L28
71% WR
vs UTR 8,3
L1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daria … Lauren … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,98 2,02 50,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Budko
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 8,00 General
UTR Ranking #3711
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 14% (7p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Lauren Nolan
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 Junior
UTR Ranking #680
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Daria Budko
Record 2025 45W - 27L (63%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 8,0
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Lauren Nolan
Record 2025 67W - 28L (71%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 8,3
Últimos 5:
L W L W W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1333
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 44,4444
momentum_diff -4,4444
weighted_momentum_diff -3,3333
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,6110
serve_consistency_p2 9,9615
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,1176
utr_p2 0,1176
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23022
API ID 15365111
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Stillwater Women 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23022,
    "api_id": 15365111,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Daria Budko",
    "player2": "Lauren Nolan",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Stillwater Women 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-14T15:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5054,
    "prob_p2": 0.4946,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5054,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 8.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3711,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 45,
      "utr_v4_losses": 27,
      "utr_v4_wr": 62.5,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.01,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Caroline McGinley"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Avery Olsen"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Olivia Dartawan"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sun Park"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Emerson Jones"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:56.727850+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 14.285714285714285,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 680,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 67,
      "utr_v4_losses": 28,
      "utr_v4_wr": 70.52631578947368,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.26,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Estela Loureiro"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Chloe Fouhety"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kylie Liu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Neda Rahimkhani"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Addy Rogin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:16.432475+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 8.0,
      "ranking": 3711,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 680,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 44.44444444444445,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.1333333333333333,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -4.44444444444445,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.610966959688813,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.961496305249804,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -3.3333333333333357,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}