Tomas Machac vs Jaume Munar
Adelaide | Hard | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 06:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jaume Munar
Tomas …: 40,3% Jaume …: 59,7%
¿Por qué Jaume Munar?
UTR 15,26 vs 15,56 (-0,31) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tomas … Jaume … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,10 57,8%
IA Fair Odds 2,48 1,68 40,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Tomas …: -14,5% Jaume …: +14,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomas Machac
Ranking #24
UTR Rating 15,26 Pro
UTR Ranking #56
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 17/29 = 58,6%
Jaume Munar
Ranking #39
UTR Rating 15,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #24
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 21/35 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 3,0000
rank_ratio 1,0857
log_rank_ratio 0,0822
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 65,0000
best_rank_diff 13,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,3793
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,3753
surface_matches_ratio 0,8286
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,6207
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,5758
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,9744
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1724
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,8802
first_serve_won_diff 0,8986
second_serve_won_diff 4,2345
bp_saved_diff 3,6974
bp_converted_diff 4,5886
aces_per_match_diff 2,5803
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -7,4500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0582
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8609
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6429
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 8,9402
serve_consistency_p2 10,7172
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,1134
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0832
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1030
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3100
utr_p1 0,8706
utr_p2 0,9071
utr_advantage -1,9929
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23028
API ID 15327351
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23028,
    "api_id": 15327351,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Tomas Machac",
    "player2": "Jaume Munar",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-15T02:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.76,
      "p2": 2.03
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4031,
    "prob_p2": 0.5969,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5969,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 24,
      "utr_singles": 15.26,
      "utr_ranking": 56,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 39,
      "utr_singles": 15.56,
      "utr_ranking": 24,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.26,
      "ranking": 56,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.56,
      "ranking": 24,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8705882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.9070588235294119,
    "utr_diff": -0.3100000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0857142857142856,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 65,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.6974384236453233,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 58.620689655172406,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": -1.9929283188685345,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 13,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.08223809823697201,
    "rank_advantage": 3,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.3793103448275943,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.588571428571434,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.88024630541873,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0582010582010581,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8608695652173913,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.580295566502463,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.8986206896551892,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1724137931034483,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.940201701141742,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.717170688425117,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.11343185963720344,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.57575757575758,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.97435897435898,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.234482758620693,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8285714285714286,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.449999999999989,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08320689655172409,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10299999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.375291375291377,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}