Tomas Machac vs Jaume Munar
Adelaide | Hard | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 06:05
15 Ene 2026, 06:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jaume Munar
Tomas …: 40,3%
Jaume …: 59,7%
¿Por qué Jaume Munar?
UTR 15,26 vs 15,56
(-0,31)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tomas … | Jaume … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,10 | 57,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,48 | 1,68 | 40,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tomas …: -14,5%
Jaume …: +14,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomas Machac
Ranking
#24
UTR Rating
15,26 Pro
UTR Ranking
#56
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
17/29 = 58,6%
Jaume Munar
Ranking
#39
UTR Rating
15,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
21/35 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0857 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0822 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 65,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 13,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1,3793 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,3753 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8286 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58,6207 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,5758 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,9744 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,8802 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,8986 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,2345 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,6974 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,5886 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,5803 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,4500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0582 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8609 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,9402 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,7172 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,1134 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0832 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1030 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9071 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,9929 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23028
API ID
15327351
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23028,
"api_id": 15327351,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Tomas Machac",
"player2": "Jaume Munar",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-15T02:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.76,
"p2": 2.03
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4031,
"prob_p2": 0.5969,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5969,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 24,
"utr_singles": 15.26,
"utr_ranking": 56,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 39,
"utr_singles": 15.56,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.26,
"ranking": 56,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.56,
"ranking": 24,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8705882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.9070588235294119,
"utr_diff": -0.3100000000000005,
"rank_ratio": 1.0857142857142856,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 65,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.6974384236453233,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 58.620689655172406,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": -1.9929283188685345,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 13,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.08223809823697201,
"rank_advantage": 3,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.3793103448275943,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.588571428571434,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.88024630541873,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0582010582010581,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8608695652173913,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.580295566502463,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.8986206896551892,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1724137931034483,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.940201701141742,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.717170688425117,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.11343185963720344,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.57575757575758,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.97435897435898,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.234482758620693,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8285714285714286,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.449999999999989,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08320689655172409,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10299999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.375291375291377,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}