Kimberly Birrell vs Jaqueline Cristian
Adelaide | Hard | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jaqueline Cristian
Kimberly …: 41,7% Jaqueline …: 58,3%
¿Por qué Jaqueline Cristian?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kimberly … Jaqueline … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
Gamdom 2,32 1,64 43,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,40 1,72 41,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Kimberly …: -1,4% Jaqueline …: +1,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kimberly Birrell
Ranking #76
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 19/33 = 57,6%
Jaqueline Cristian
Ranking #35
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 19/34 = 55,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -70,0000
rank_ratio 0,3458
log_rank_ratio -1,0619
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -598,0000
best_rank_diff -22,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,6934
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,4936
surface_matches_ratio 0,9706
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,5758
surface_wr_p2 55,8824
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,7568
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,2632
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 34,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1515
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,0768
first_serve_won_diff 0,0406
second_serve_won_diff 3,5623
bp_saved_diff -4,6889
bp_converted_diff 2,7455
aces_per_match_diff -0,5829
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff -36,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -13,6040
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,2059
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7018
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8333
serve_consistency_p1 12,8362
serve_consistency_p2 3,3579
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,7982
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1458
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0112
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,0000
utr_p2 0,0000
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23031
API ID 15328445
Gamdom ID 580619
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23031,
    "api_id": 15328445,
    "gamdom_id": 580619,
    "player1": "Kimberly Birrell",
    "player2": "Jaqueline Cristian",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-15T00:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.32,
      "p2": 1.64
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.43,
      "p2": 1.54
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4172,
    "prob_p2": 0.5828,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5828,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 76,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 35,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.88235294117647,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 34,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.0,
    "utr_p2": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.34579439252336447,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -598,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.688948306595371,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -35.99999999999997,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.57575757575758,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.88235294117647,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -22,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.0619109218176819,
    "rank_advantage": -70,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8333333333333334,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.693404634581107,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.7454545454545283,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 34,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.07676470588235418,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.20588235294117646,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7017543859649122,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.5828877005347595,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.04064171122993798,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.15151515151515152,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.836210205207406,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.357948412411391,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.7982448765183578,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.75675675675676,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.26315789473685,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.562299465240649,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9705882352941176,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -13.603999999999985,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14575757575757575,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.011176470588235232,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.4935988620199083,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}