Kimberly Birrell vs Jaqueline Cristian
Adelaide | Hard | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 04:30
15 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jaqueline Cristian
Kimberly …: 41,7%
Jaqueline …: 58,3%
¿Por qué Jaqueline Cristian?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kimberly … | Jaqueline … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,67 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,32 | 1,64 | 43,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,40 | 1,72 | 41,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Kimberly …: -1,4%
Jaqueline …: +1,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kimberly Birrell
Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
19/33 = 57,6%
Jaqueline Cristian
Ranking
#35
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
19/34 = 55,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -70,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3458 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0619 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -598,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -22,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,6934 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,4936 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9706 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,5758 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,8824 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,7568 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,2632 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1515 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,0768 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0406 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,5623 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,6889 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,7455 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,5829 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -36,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -13,6040 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,2059 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7018 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,8362 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,3579 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,7982 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1458 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0112 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23031
API ID
15328445
Gamdom ID
580619
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23031,
"api_id": 15328445,
"gamdom_id": 580619,
"player1": "Kimberly Birrell",
"player2": "Jaqueline Cristian",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-15T00:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.32,
"p2": 1.64
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.43,
"p2": 1.54
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4172,
"prob_p2": 0.5828,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5828,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 76,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 35,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.88235294117647,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.0,
"utr_p2": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.34579439252336447,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -598,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.688948306595371,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -35.99999999999997,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.57575757575758,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.88235294117647,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -22,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.0619109218176819,
"rank_advantage": -70,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8333333333333334,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.693404634581107,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.7454545454545283,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 34,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.07676470588235418,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.20588235294117646,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7017543859649122,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5828877005347595,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.04064171122993798,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.15151515151515152,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.836210205207406,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.357948412411391,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.7982448765183578,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.75675675675676,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.26315789473685,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.562299465240649,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9705882352941176,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -13.603999999999985,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14575757575757575,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.011176470588235232,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.4935988620199083,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}