Giulio Zeppieri vs Rei Sakamoto
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Giulio Zeppieri
Giulio …: 72,3%
Rei …: 27,7%
¿Por qué Giulio Zeppieri?
UTR 14,62 vs 14,42
(+0,28)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Giulio … | Rei … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,20 | 61,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,80 | 2,03 | 55,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,38 | 3,61 | 72,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Giulio …: +14,6%
Rei …: -14,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Giulio Zeppieri
Ranking
#156
UTR Rating
14,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#142
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
25/38 = 65,8%
Rei Sakamoto
Ranking
#203
UTR Rating
14,42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#193
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
27/48 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 46,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2949 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2584 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 110,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 49,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9,5395 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,5165 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7917 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65,7895 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,7692 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 48,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3158 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,1175 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,2895 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,6518 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 11,8873 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,7752 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4167 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 4,6800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5789 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,8696 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,0781 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,4651 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1119 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1085 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 9,5395 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7812 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7482 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,9310 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23034
API ID
15365936
Gamdom ID
597645
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23034,
"api_id": 15365936,
"gamdom_id": 597645,
"player1": "Giulio Zeppieri",
"player2": "Rei Sakamoto",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6153846153846154,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.03
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 1.96
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.723,
"prob_p2": 0.277,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.723,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 156,
"utr_singles": 14.62,
"utr_ranking": 142,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.78947368421053,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 203,
"utr_singles": 14.42,
"utr_ranking": 193,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 48,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.62,
"ranking": 142,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.42,
"ranking": 193,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7811764705882354,
"utr_p2": 0.748235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.28000000000000114,
"rank_ratio": 1.294871794871795,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": 110,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 11.887280701754399,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 8.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 65.78947368421053,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.25,
"utr_advantage": 1.9310344827586285,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 49,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.25841169015166776,
"rank_advantage": 46,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5789473684210527,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 9.539473684210535,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.7752192982456165,
"p1_surface_matches": 38,
"p2_surface_matches": 48,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.11745614035088181,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.4166666666666661,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.28947368421053454,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3157894736842105,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.869595676399237,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.078120977050995,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.465111517894201,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.28571428571429,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.769230769230774,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.6517543859649138,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7916666666666666,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 4.680000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 9.539473684210535,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11189473684210527,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10850000000000004,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.516483516483518,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}