Giulio Zeppieri vs Rei Sakamoto
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Giulio Zeppieri
Giulio …: 72,3% Rei …: 27,7%
¿Por qué Giulio Zeppieri?
UTR 14,62 vs 14,42 (+0,28) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Giulio … Rei … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,20 61,9%
Gamdom 1,80 2,03 55,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,38 3,61 72,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Giulio …: +14,6% Rei …: -14,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Giulio Zeppieri
Ranking #156
UTR Rating 14,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #142
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 25/38 = 65,8%
Rei Sakamoto
Ranking #203
UTR Rating 14,42 Pro
UTR Ranking #193
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 27/48 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 46,0000
rank_ratio 1,2949
log_rank_ratio 0,2584
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 110,0000
best_rank_diff 49,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 9,5395
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,5165
surface_matches_ratio 0,7917
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 65,7895
surface_wr_p2 56,2500
surface_wr_p1_stable 64,2857
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,7692
p1_surface_matches 38,0000
p2_surface_matches 48,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3158
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,1175
first_serve_won_diff -0,2895
second_serve_won_diff 3,6518
bp_saved_diff 11,8873
bp_converted_diff -2,7752
aces_per_match_diff -0,4167
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 4,6800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5789
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 6,8696
serve_consistency_p2 9,0781
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,4651
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1119
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1085
elite_surface_amplifier 9,5395
UTR
utr_diff 0,2800
utr_p1 0,7812
utr_p2 0,7482
utr_advantage 1,9310
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23034
API ID 15365936
Gamdom ID 597645
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23034,
    "api_id": 15365936,
    "gamdom_id": 597645,
    "player1": "Giulio Zeppieri",
    "player2": "Rei Sakamoto",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6153846153846154,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 2.03
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 1.96
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.723,
    "prob_p2": 0.277,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.723,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 156,
      "utr_singles": 14.62,
      "utr_ranking": 142,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.78947368421053,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 203,
      "utr_singles": 14.42,
      "utr_ranking": 193,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 48,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.62,
      "ranking": 142,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.42,
      "ranking": 193,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7811764705882354,
    "utr_p2": 0.748235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.28000000000000114,
    "rank_ratio": 1.294871794871795,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": 110,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 11.887280701754399,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 65.78947368421053,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.25,
    "utr_advantage": 1.9310344827586285,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 49,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.25841169015166776,
    "rank_advantage": 46,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5789473684210527,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 9.539473684210535,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.7752192982456165,
    "p1_surface_matches": 38,
    "p2_surface_matches": 48,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.11745614035088181,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.4166666666666661,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.28947368421053454,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3157894736842105,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.869595676399237,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.078120977050995,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.465111517894201,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.28571428571429,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.769230769230774,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.6517543859649138,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7916666666666666,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 4.680000000000007,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 9.539473684210535,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11189473684210527,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10850000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.516483516483518,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}