Lucia Bronzetti vs Sloane Stephens
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lucia Bronzetti
Lucia …: 80,7% Sloane …: 19,3%
¿Por qué Lucia Bronzetti?
UTR 11,56 vs 11,65 (+0,27) — Niveles similares
Lucia …
Sin datos
Sloane …
W0-L5
0% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L5
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lucia … Sloane … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,5%
Gamdom 2,28 1,66 43,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,24 5,18 80,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Lucia …: +30,7% Sloane …: -30,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lucia Bronzetti
Ranking #107
UTR Rating 11,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #227
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 13/30 = 43,3%
Sloane Stephens
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #400
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 25% (8p)
WR Hard 0/6 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Lucia Bronzetti
Sin datos UTR v4
Sloane Stephens
Record 2025 0W - 5L (0%)
Racha 5L
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
L L L L L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 394,0000
rank_ratio 4,7170
log_rank_ratio 1,5512
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 728,0000
best_rank_diff 454,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 43,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 22,1612
surface_matches_ratio 5,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 43,3333
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,1176
surface_wr_p2_stable 12,0000
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1333
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,6900
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10,0230
first_serve_won_diff 6,9633
second_serve_won_diff 12,0267
bp_saved_diff 2,2600
bp_converted_diff -6,4300
aces_per_match_diff 1,4667
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -2,6900
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5972
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5556
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,3147
serve_consistency_p2 6,4715
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 67,2173
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4607
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1060
elite_surface_amplifier 43,3333
UTR
utr_diff 0,2700
utr_p1 0,4082
utr_p2 0,3765
utr_advantage 2,3820
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23036
API ID 15366004
Gamdom ID 597664
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23036,
    "api_id": 15366004,
    "gamdom_id": 597664,
    "player1": "Lucia Bronzetti",
    "player2": "Sloane Stephens",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8333333333333335,
      "p2": 1.8333333333333335
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.28,
      "p2": 1.66
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.19,
      "p2": 1.64
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8071,
    "prob_p2": 0.1929,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8071,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 107,
      "utr_singles": 11.56,
      "utr_ranking": 227,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 43.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.65,
      "utr_ranking": 400,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 0,
      "utr_v4_losses": 5,
      "utr_v4_wr": 0.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 5,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.74,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sahaja Yamalapalli"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.65,
          "opponent_name": "Lucrezia Stefanini"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.77,
          "opponent_name": "Petra Martic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.97,
          "opponent_name": "Aryna SABALENKA"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.3,
          "opponent_name": "Ann Li"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:35.838916+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.56,
      "ranking": 227,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.65,
      "ranking": 400,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.40823529411764714,
    "utr_p2": 0.37647058823529406,
    "utr_diff": 0.27000000000000135,
    "rank_ratio": 4.716981132075472,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 728,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.260000000000005,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 43.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.382002646669619,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 454,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.5511690043101247,
    "rank_advantage": 394,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 43.333333333333336,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.430000000000007,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": 10.023000000000003,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5972222222222222,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.4666666666666666,
    "combined_confidence": 0.69,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.963333333333324,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.13333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.314708685107519,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.471465202396006,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 67.21732352010541,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.11764705882353,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 12.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 12.026666666666678,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -2.6899999999999977,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 43.333333333333336,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.46066666666666667,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10599999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 22.161176470588234,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}