Lucia Bronzetti vs Sloane Stephens
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lucia Bronzetti
Lucia …: 80,7%
Sloane …: 19,3%
¿Por qué Lucia Bronzetti?
UTR 11,56 vs 11,65
(+0,27)
— Niveles similares
Lucia …
Sin datos
Sloane …
W0-L5
0% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L5
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lucia … | Sloane … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,83 | 1,83 | 54,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,28 | 1,66 | 43,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,24 | 5,18 | 80,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Lucia …: +30,7%
Sloane …: -30,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lucia Bronzetti
Ranking
#107
UTR Rating
11,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#227
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
13/30 = 43,3%
Sloane Stephens
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#400
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
25% (8p)
WR Hard
0/6 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Lucia Bronzetti
Sin datos UTR v4
Sloane Stephens
Record 2025
0W - 5L (0%)
Racha
5L
UTR Oponentes
11,7
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 394,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,7170 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5512 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 728,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 454,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 43,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 22,1612 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 5,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 43,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,1176 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6900 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,0230 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,9633 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 12,0267 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,2600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,4300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,4667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,6900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5972 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5556 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,3147 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,4715 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 67,2173 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4607 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1060 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 43,3333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4082 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3765 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,3820 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23036
API ID
15366004
Gamdom ID
597664
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23036,
"api_id": 15366004,
"gamdom_id": 597664,
"player1": "Lucia Bronzetti",
"player2": "Sloane Stephens",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8333333333333335,
"p2": 1.8333333333333335
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.28,
"p2": 1.66
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.19,
"p2": 1.64
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8071,
"prob_p2": 0.1929,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8071,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 107,
"utr_singles": 11.56,
"utr_ranking": 227,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.65,
"utr_ranking": 400,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 0,
"utr_v4_losses": 5,
"utr_v4_wr": 0.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 5,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.74,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Sahaja Yamalapalli"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.65,
"opponent_name": "Lucrezia Stefanini"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.77,
"opponent_name": "Petra Martic"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.97,
"opponent_name": "Aryna SABALENKA"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.3,
"opponent_name": "Ann Li"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:35.838916+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 25.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.56,
"ranking": 227,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.65,
"ranking": 400,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.40823529411764714,
"utr_p2": 0.37647058823529406,
"utr_diff": 0.27000000000000135,
"rank_ratio": 4.716981132075472,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 728,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.260000000000005,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 43.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 2.382002646669619,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 454,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.5511690043101247,
"rank_advantage": 394,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 43.333333333333336,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.430000000000007,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.023000000000003,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5972222222222222,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.4666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.69,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.963333333333324,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.13333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.314708685107519,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.471465202396006,
"surface_rank_synergy": 67.21732352010541,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.11764705882353,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 12.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 12.026666666666678,
"surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.6899999999999977,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 43.333333333333336,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.46066666666666667,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10599999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 22.161176470588234,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}