Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Viktoriya Tomova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Viktoriya Tomova
Yuliia …: 37,8% Viktoriya …: 62,2%
¿Por qué Viktoriya Tomova?
UTR 12,00 vs 11,93 (-0,11) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yuliia … Viktoriya … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,2%
Gamdom 1,54 2,55 64,9%
IA Fair Odds 2,64 1,61 37,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Yuliia …: -26,7% Viktoriya …: +26,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Ranking #110
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #106
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 10/27 = 37,0%
Viktoriya Tomova
Ranking #128
UTR Rating 11,93 Pro
UTR Ranking #124
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/25 = 44,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 18,0000
rank_ratio 1,1636
log_rank_ratio 0,1515
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 144,0000
best_rank_diff -17,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,9630
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,3022
surface_matches_ratio 1,0800
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 37,0370
surface_wr_p2 44,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 38,7097
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,8276
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 25,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2593
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 0,8333
combined_confidence 0,8667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,0440
first_serve_won_diff -0,8000
second_serve_won_diff 4,1200
bp_saved_diff 0,4800
bp_converted_diff 9,3800
aces_per_match_diff -0,4400
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 8,0740
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4333
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5217
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 7,1264
serve_consistency_p2 7,9314
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,0552
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1476
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0420
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1100
utr_p1 0,4541
utr_p2 0,4671
utr_advantage -0,9232
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23037
API ID 15365934
Gamdom ID 597644
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23037,
    "api_id": 15365934,
    "gamdom_id": 597644,
    "player1": "Yuliia Starodubtseva",
    "player2": "Viktoriya Tomova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.625
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.51,
      "p2": 2.45
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3781,
    "prob_p2": 0.6219,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6219,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 110,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 106,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 37.03703703703704,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 128,
      "utr_singles": 11.93,
      "utr_ranking": 124,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 106,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.93,
      "ranking": 124,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.45411764705882346,
    "utr_p2": 0.46705882352941186,
    "utr_diff": -0.11000000000000121,
    "rank_ratio": 1.1636363636363636,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 144,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.480000000000004,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 37.03703703703704,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.9232060428031994,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -17,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.15154989812720088,
    "rank_advantage": 18,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.962962962962962,
    "bp_converted_diff": 9.380000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 25,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.04399999999999693,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.43333333333333335,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5217391304347826,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.43999999999999995,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.8000000000000043,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.25925925925925924,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.126434809021158,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.931439406437249,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.0552363277005097,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 38.70967741935484,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.827586206896555,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.1200000000000045,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.08,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 8.074000000000012,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1476296296296296,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04199999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.302187615869487,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}