Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Viktoriya Tomova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Viktoriya Tomova
Yuliia …: 37,8%
Viktoriya …: 62,2%
¿Por qué Viktoriya Tomova?
UTR 12,00 vs 11,93
(-0,11)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yuliia … | Viktoriya … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,63 | 69,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,54 | 2,55 | 64,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,64 | 1,61 | 37,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yuliia …: -26,7%
Viktoriya …: +26,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Ranking
#110
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#106
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
10/27 = 37,0%
Viktoriya Tomova
Ranking
#128
UTR Rating
11,93 Pro
UTR Ranking
#124
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/25 = 44,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 18,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1636 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1515 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 144,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -17,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6,9630 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,3022 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0800 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 37,0370 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 38,7097 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,8276 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2593 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,0440 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,8000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,1200 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,4800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,3800 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4400 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,0740 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4333 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5217 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,1264 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,9314 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,0552 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1476 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0420 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4541 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4671 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,9232 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23037
API ID
15365934
Gamdom ID
597644
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23037,
"api_id": 15365934,
"gamdom_id": 597644,
"player1": "Yuliia Starodubtseva",
"player2": "Viktoriya Tomova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4444444444444444,
"p2": 2.625
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.54,
"p2": 2.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.51,
"p2": 2.45
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3781,
"prob_p2": 0.6219,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6219,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 110,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 106,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 37.03703703703704,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 128,
"utr_singles": 11.93,
"utr_ranking": 124,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 106,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.93,
"ranking": 124,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.45411764705882346,
"utr_p2": 0.46705882352941186,
"utr_diff": -0.11000000000000121,
"rank_ratio": 1.1636363636363636,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 144,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.480000000000004,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 37.03703703703704,
"surface_wr_p2": 44.0,
"utr_advantage": -0.9232060428031994,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -17,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.15154989812720088,
"rank_advantage": 18,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -6.962962962962962,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.380000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 25,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.04399999999999693,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.43333333333333335,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5217391304347826,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.43999999999999995,
"combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.8000000000000043,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.25925925925925924,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.126434809021158,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.931439406437249,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.0552363277005097,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 38.70967741935484,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.827586206896555,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.1200000000000045,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.08,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.074000000000012,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1476296296296296,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04199999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.302187615869487,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}