Zeynep Sonmez vs Anastasia Gasanova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Zeynep Sonmez
Zeynep …: 54,0% Anastasia …: 46,0%
¿Por qué Zeynep Sonmez?
UTR 12,11 vs 11,68 (+0,31) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Zeynep … Anastasia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,3%
Gamdom 1,35 3,30 74,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,85 2,17 54,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Zeynep …: -14,7% Anastasia …: +14,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zeynep Sonmez
Ranking #112
UTR Rating 12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/33 = 48,5%
Anastasia Gasanova
Ranking #213
UTR Rating 11,68 Pro
UTR Ranking #198
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 2/3 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 100,0000
rank_ratio 1,8929
log_rank_ratio 0,6381
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 354,0000
best_rank_diff 52,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -18,1818
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -10,1578
surface_matches_ratio 11,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,4848
surface_wr_p2 66,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,6486
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,8095
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 3,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0303
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3400
combined_confidence 0,6700
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,8439
first_serve_won_diff -2,8636
second_serve_won_diff 4,1818
bp_saved_diff 5,1515
bp_converted_diff -0,0909
aces_per_match_diff -0,3333
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,0700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6019
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 5,1013
serve_consistency_p2 8,8167
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -11,6016
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1152
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2667
elite_surface_amplifier -18,1818
UTR
utr_diff 0,3100
utr_p1 0,4659
utr_p2 0,4294
utr_advantage 2,6260
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23038
API ID 15365976
Gamdom ID 597648
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23038,
    "api_id": 15365976,
    "gamdom_id": 597648,
    "player1": "Zeynep Sonmez",
    "player2": "Anastasia Gasanova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.35,
      "p2": 3.3
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.17
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.54,
    "prob_p2": 0.46,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.54,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 112,
      "utr_singles": 12.11,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 213,
      "utr_singles": 11.68,
      "utr_ranking": 198,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.11,
      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.68,
      "ranking": 198,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4658823529411766,
    "utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
    "utr_diff": 0.3100000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 1.8928571428571428,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 354,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.151515151515163,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.484848484848484,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
    "utr_advantage": 2.6260059296908134,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 52,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6380874033769178,
    "rank_advantage": 100,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -18.181818181818173,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.09090909090908639,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 3,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.8439393939394009,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6018518518518519,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6699999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.863636363636367,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.030303030303030304,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.101261098809742,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.816742573281381,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -11.601589152307591,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.64864864864865,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.809523809523796,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.18181818181818,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 11.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.0700000000000074,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -18.181818181818173,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11515151515151512,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2666666666666665,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.157786357786344,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}