Zeynep Sonmez vs Anastasia Gasanova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Zeynep Sonmez
Zeynep …: 54,0%
Anastasia …: 46,0%
¿Por qué Zeynep Sonmez?
UTR 12,11 vs 11,68
(+0,31)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Zeynep … | Anastasia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,00 | 73,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,35 | 3,30 | 74,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,85 | 2,17 | 54,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Zeynep …: -14,7%
Anastasia …: +14,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zeynep Sonmez
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Anastasia Gasanova
Ranking
#213
UTR Rating
11,68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#198
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
2/3 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 100,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,8929 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6381 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 354,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 52,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -18,1818 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -10,1578 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 11,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,4848 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,6486 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,8095 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0303 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6700 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,8439 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,8636 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,1818 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,1515 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,0909 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,3333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,0700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6019 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,1013 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,8167 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -11,6016 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1152 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2667 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -18,1818 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4659 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4294 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,6260 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23038
API ID
15365976
Gamdom ID
597648
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23038,
"api_id": 15365976,
"gamdom_id": 597648,
"player1": "Zeynep Sonmez",
"player2": "Anastasia Gasanova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-15T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3636363636363638,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.35,
"p2": 3.3
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 3.17
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.54,
"prob_p2": 0.46,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.54,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 112,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 213,
"utr_singles": 11.68,
"utr_ranking": 198,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.68,
"ranking": 198,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
"utr_diff": 0.3100000000000005,
"rank_ratio": 1.8928571428571428,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 354,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.151515151515163,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.484848484848484,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": 2.6260059296908134,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 52,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6380874033769178,
"rank_advantage": 100,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -18.181818181818173,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.09090909090908639,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 3,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.8439393939394009,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6018518518518519,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"combined_confidence": 0.6699999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.863636363636367,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.030303030303030304,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.101261098809742,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.816742573281381,
"surface_rank_synergy": -11.601589152307591,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.64864864864865,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.809523809523796,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.18181818181818,
"surface_matches_ratio": 11.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.0700000000000074,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -18.181818181818173,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11515151515151512,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2666666666666665,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.157786357786344,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}