Ugo Humbert vs Alexander Shevchenko
Adelaide | Hard | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 10:30
15 Ene 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ugo Humbert
Ugo …: 86,2%
Alexander …: 13,8%
¿Por qué Ugo Humbert?
UTR 15,43 vs 14,73
(+0,76)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ugo … | Alexander … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,28 | 3,75 | 78,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,16 | 7,25 | 86,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ugo …: +11,6%
Alexander …: -11,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ugo Humbert
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
15,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#38
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
18/29 = 62,1%
Alexander Shevchenko
Ranking
#97
UTR Rating
14,73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#123
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
8/23 = 34,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 68,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,8889 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,0609 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 758,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 32,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 27,2864 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 20,4265 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2609 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,0690 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 34,7826 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,6061 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 37,0370 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2414 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,6287 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,1135 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,2087 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,9057 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,1960 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,7046 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -26,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -3,6200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7136 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3818 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4286 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,1262 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,1725 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 28,9473 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0527 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0842 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 54,5727 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7871 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,0431 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23041
API ID
15327350
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23041,
"api_id": 15327350,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ugo Humbert",
"player2": "Alexander Shevchenko",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-15T06:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.28,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.83
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.862,
"prob_p2": 0.138,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.862,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 33,
"utr_singles": 15.43,
"utr_ranking": 38,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.06896551724138,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 97,
"utr_singles": 14.73,
"utr_ranking": 123,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 34.78260869565217,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 38,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 123,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7870588235294117,
"utr_diff": 0.7599999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 2.888888888888889,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 758,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.905697151424285,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -25.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.06896551724138,
"surface_wr_p2": 34.78260869565217,
"utr_advantage": 5.043132050431319,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 32,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.0608719606852626,
"rank_advantage": 68,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 27.28635682158921,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.195952023987999,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.628650674662673,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7135678391959799,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.38181818181818183,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.704647676161919,
"combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.113493253373321,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2413793103448276,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.126236121841185,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.172450056536853,
"surface_rank_synergy": 28.947330861277035,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.60606060606061,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.03703703703704,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.20869565217393,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2608695652173914,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -3.6199999999999903,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 54.57271364317842,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05268965517241375,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08417391304347821,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 20.426487093153764,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}