Eliot Spizzirri vs Fábián Marozsán
Auckland | Hard | Quarterfinals
16 Ene 2026, 02:00
16 Ene 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Fábián Marozsán
Eliot …: 49,5%
Fábián …: 50,5%
¿Por qué Fábián Marozsán?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Eliot … | Fábián … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,20 | 1,67 | 45,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,17 | 1,70 | 46,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,02 | 1,98 | 49,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Eliot …: +6,4%
Fábián …: -6,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Eliot Spizzirri
Ranking
#85
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
27/44 = 61,4%
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking
#47
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -37,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5843 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5374 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -303,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -51,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9,7507 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,9881 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4194 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,4167 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,4286 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2273 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,5751 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,3310 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,6910 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,6107 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,4540 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,6012 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9,9500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9677 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1456 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7391 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3529 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,5296 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,0918 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -5,2400 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1506 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0209 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8400 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23042
API ID
15327201
Gamdom ID
579404
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23042,
"api_id": 15327201,
"gamdom_id": 579404,
"player1": "Eliot Spizzirri",
"player2": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-15T22:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.17,
"p2": 1.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.13,
"p2": 1.7
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4953,
"prob_p2": 0.5047,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5047,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 85,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 47,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.16,
"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8400000000000001,
"utr_p2": 0.8400000000000001,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.5842696629213483,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": -303,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.6107038123167285,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 27.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.36363636363637,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.61290322580645,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -51,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5373926511507126,
"rank_advantage": -37,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7391304347826086,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 9.750733137829918,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.454032258064512,
"p1_surface_matches": 44,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.575146627565978,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.967741935483871,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.145631067961165,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.6011730205278587,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.331011730205276,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.22727272727272727,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.529592746403463,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.091766428888977,
"surface_rank_synergy": -5.2399723316015265,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.416666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.6909824046920789,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4193548387096775,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.949999999999989,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15063636363636368,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.02087096774193553,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.98809523809524,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}