Eliot Spizzirri vs Fábián Marozsán
Auckland | Hard | Quarterfinals
16 Ene 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Fábián Marozsán
Eliot …: 49,5% Fábián …: 50,5%
¿Por qué Fábián Marozsán?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Eliot … Fábián … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
Gamdom 2,17 1,70 46,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,02 1,98 49,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Eliot …: +6,4% Fábián …: -6,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Eliot Spizzirri
Ranking #85
UTR Rating 15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #70
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 27/44 = 61,4%
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking #47
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -37,0000
rank_ratio 0,5843
log_rank_ratio -0,5374
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -303,0000
best_rank_diff -51,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 9,7507
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,9881
surface_matches_ratio 1,4194
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 61,3636
surface_wr_p2 51,6129
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,4167
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,4286
p1_surface_matches 44,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2273
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,5751
first_serve_won_diff -2,3310
second_serve_won_diff -0,6910
bp_saved_diff -6,6107
bp_converted_diff 7,4540
aces_per_match_diff -0,6012
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 9,9500
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9677
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1456
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7391
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3529
serve_consistency_p1 4,5296
serve_consistency_p2 6,0918
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -5,2400
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1506
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0209
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8400
utr_p2 0,8400
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23042
API ID 15327201
Gamdom ID 579404
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23042,
    "api_id": 15327201,
    "gamdom_id": 579404,
    "player1": "Eliot Spizzirri",
    "player2": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-15T22:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.17,
      "p2": 1.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.13,
      "p2": 1.7
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4953,
    "prob_p2": 0.5047,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5047,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 85,
      "utr_singles": 15.16,
      "utr_ranking": 70,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 47,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.16,
      "ranking": 70,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8400000000000001,
    "utr_p2": 0.8400000000000001,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5842696629213483,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": -303,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.6107038123167285,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 27.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 61.36363636363637,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.61290322580645,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -51,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5373926511507126,
    "rank_advantage": -37,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7391304347826086,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 9.750733137829918,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.454032258064512,
    "p1_surface_matches": 44,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.575146627565978,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.967741935483871,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.145631067961165,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.6011730205278587,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.331011730205276,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.22727272727272727,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.529592746403463,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.091766428888977,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -5.2399723316015265,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.416666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.6909824046920789,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4193548387096775,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.949999999999989,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15063636363636368,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.02087096774193553,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.98809523809524,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}