Anna Bondar vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Hobart | Hard | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 06:00
15 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Anna …: 46,3%
Elisabetta …: 53,7%
¿Por qué Elisabetta Cocciaretto?
UTR 12,04 vs 12,14
(-0,17)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anna … | Elisabetta … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 2,00 | 55,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,69 | 2,23 | 59,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,16 | 1,86 | 46,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anna …: -6,3%
Elisabetta …: +6,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Bondar
Ranking
#74
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#96
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
14/30 = 46,7%
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
14/30 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 5,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0645 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 28,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -21,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,0588 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,0588 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,2443 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,1433 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,3133 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,1800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,3333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6579 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5733 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5385 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1429 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,3767 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,2305 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0383 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0283 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4835 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,4137 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23045
API ID
15328390
Gamdom ID
580582
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23045,
"api_id": 15328390,
"gamdom_id": 580582,
"player1": "Anna Bondar",
"player2": "Elisabetta Cocciaretto",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-15T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.69,
"p2": 2.23
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.7,
"p2": 2.12
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4631,
"prob_p2": 0.5369,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5369,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 74,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 96,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 56,
"utr_singles": 12.14,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.04,
"ranking": 96,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.14,
"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4635294117647058,
"utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
"utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 1.0666666666666667,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 28,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.1799999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": -17.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.666666666666664,
"utr_advantage": -1.4137214137214134,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -21,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.06453852113757116,
"rank_advantage": 5,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.14285714285714285,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.6999999999999957,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.244333333333323,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6578947368421053,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5733333333333334,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.333333333333334,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.143333333333331,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.376737627064472,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.23051498175273,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.05882352941176,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.05882352941176,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.3133333333333326,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.038333333333333386,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.028333333333333377,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}