Anna Bondar vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Hobart | Hard | Quarterfinals
15 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Anna …: 46,3% Elisabetta …: 53,7%
¿Por qué Elisabetta Cocciaretto?
UTR 12,04 vs 12,14 (-0,17) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anna … Elisabetta … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 2,00 55,6%
Gamdom 1,69 2,23 59,2%
IA Fair Odds 2,16 1,86 46,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Anna …: -6,3% Elisabetta …: +6,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Bondar
Ranking #74
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #96
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/30 = 46,7%
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ranking #56
UTR Rating 12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking #70
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 14/30 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 5,0000
rank_ratio 1,0667
log_rank_ratio 0,0645
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 28,0000
best_rank_diff -21,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,6667
surface_wr_p2 46,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,0588
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,0588
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 9,2443
first_serve_won_diff 7,1433
second_serve_won_diff -3,3133
bp_saved_diff -2,1800
bp_converted_diff -0,7000
aces_per_match_diff 3,3333
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff -18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6579
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5733
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5385
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,1429
serve_consistency_p1 5,3767
serve_consistency_p2 5,2305
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0383
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0283
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1700
utr_p1 0,4635
utr_p2 0,4835
utr_advantage -1,4137
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23045
API ID 15328390
Gamdom ID 580582
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23045,
    "api_id": 15328390,
    "gamdom_id": 580582,
    "player1": "Anna Bondar",
    "player2": "Elisabetta Cocciaretto",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-15T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.69,
      "p2": 2.23
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.7,
      "p2": 2.12
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4631,
    "prob_p2": 0.5369,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5369,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 74,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 96,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 56,
      "utr_singles": 12.14,
      "utr_ranking": 70,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 96,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.14,
      "ranking": 70,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4635294117647058,
    "utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
    "utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0666666666666667,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 28,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.1799999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "momentum_diff": -17.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 46.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": -1.4137214137214134,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -21,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.06453852113757116,
    "rank_advantage": 5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.14285714285714285,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.6999999999999957,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": 9.244333333333323,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6578947368421053,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5733333333333334,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.333333333333334,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.143333333333331,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.376737627064472,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.23051498175273,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.05882352941176,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.05882352941176,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.3133333333333326,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.038333333333333386,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.028333333333333377,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}