Dino Prižmić vs Arthur Fery
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Final
15 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Fery
Dino …: 48,3% Arthur …: 51,7%
¿Por qué Arthur Fery?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Dino … Arthur … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,38 65,2%
IA Fair Odds 2,07 1,93 48,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Dino …: -12,5% Arthur …: +12,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dino Prižmić
Ranking #127
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/26 = 61,5%
Arthur Fery
Ranking #186
UTR Rating 14,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #132
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 20/28 = 71,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 58,0000
rank_ratio 1,4567
log_rank_ratio 0,3762
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 165,0000
best_rank_diff 70,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,8901
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7,8750
surface_matches_ratio 0,9286
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 61,5385
surface_wr_p2 71,4286
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 68,7500
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2308
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,9000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,0228
first_serve_won_diff 0,5385
second_serve_won_diff 5,2225
bp_saved_diff 0,3434
bp_converted_diff -4,2137
aces_per_match_diff 0,5934
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -3,6000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6786
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4286
serve_consistency_p1 9,2827
serve_consistency_p2 2,6754
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,7204
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0574
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2723
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7929
utr_p2 0,7929
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23046
API ID 15366113
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23046,
    "api_id": 15366113,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Dino Pri\u017emi\u0107",
    "player2": "Arthur Fery",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-15T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5333333333333332,
      "p2": 2.375
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.5
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4831,
    "prob_p2": 0.5169,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5169,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 127,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 186,
      "utr_singles": 14.71,
      "utr_ranking": 132,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.71,
      "ranking": 132,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7929411764705883,
    "utr_p2": 0.7929411764705883,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.4566929133858268,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": 165,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.3434065934065842,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -2.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 61.53846153846154,
    "surface_wr_p2": 71.42857142857143,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "best_rank_diff": 70,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.3761687386197336,
    "rank_advantage": 58,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.89010989010989,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.213736263736266,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.022802197802193,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6785714285714286,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.5934065934065931,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.538461538461533,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.23076923076923078,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.282685595507207,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.675410822385744,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.72035016217319,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.222527472527467,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9285714285714286,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -3.6000000000000085,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05738461538461537,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.27228571428571435,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.875,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}